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Grant ChachereOct 18, 2026

Chachere picks the Giants to beat the Saints 24-17 in a one-score game in Week 6, expecting Tyler Shough to improve but New Orleans' rushing attack to be ineffective.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

50Close · out of 100
Saints 34–27What happenedcalled Giants by 7 · lost by 7
33.33A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
50This callout of 100
+28.67Skillafter difficulty

What Grant Chachere said

I predict a one-score game in the Meadowlands with the Giants pulling it out.
Our reading: New York Giants 24 — Saints 17
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Saints vs. Giants: Can New Orleans Snap Its Losing Streak? Our Staff Predicts
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 18
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsNew York Giants

    New York Giants 24 — Saints 17

    What happenedSaints 34–27called Giants by 7 · lost by 7
    50Close · naive 33.33
    50this call33.33a naive guess16.67better than naive1.72difficulty+28.67skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Saints by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 24–17 calls a Giants win (by 7) and fewer points (41).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-27
    skill:
    28.67
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    33.33
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

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