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Chris Brockman· Aug 29, 2025

Brockman gave the identical AFC West order to TJ Jefferson: Chiefs first, Broncos second, Chargers third, Raiders fourth.

“The Raiders, I think, are going to be better than people think, but they're not gonna be as good as the other three teams ahead of them.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 35 out of 100, against 30 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    “not quite as good as Denver, who is not quite as good as Kansas City”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsAug 29, 2025

    “The Chargers, I I have them third... Really excited for Omari and Hampton, but they're not quite as good as Denver, who is not quite as good as Kansas City.”

    Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 60+20 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    20
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    70
    baseline:
    60
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these