Albert Breer#35 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026
Breer picked winners for all 14 Week 6 games, including the Texans over the Jaguars in London, the Panthers over the Eagles and the Packers over the Cowboys.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Albert Breer said
Albert Breer, the lead quote
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- NFL Week 6 Picks From the MMQB Staff: Packers Could Gain Momentum With Win Over Cowboys
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 15
- PlayedOct 15–19
- GradedOct 16–20
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Outcome Picks | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | |
| All | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
14 checkable claims — 14 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 14 have settled, averaging 64.3 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game Outcome Picks9 hits · 5 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
San Francisco 49ers to beat Commanders
“Commanders at 49ers — Albert Breer: 49ers”
49ers 23–17Commanders at 49ers100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 7.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 17-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 13-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Chiefs 22–6Chargers at Chiefs100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (79%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 6-22
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Bills 33–30Bills at Raiders100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.72 difficulty = +172 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 33-30
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Buccaneers
“Steelers at Buccaneers — Albert Breer: Steelers”
Steelers 26–19Steelers at Buccaneers100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.72 difficulty = +172 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 56%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 26-19
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Cardinals 18–16Cardinals at Rams0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 18-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Browns 13–10Ravens at Browns0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.72 difficulty = −172 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- −172
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Patriots 26–19Jets at Patriots100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 19-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Panthers 25–14Panthers at Eagles100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.72 difficulty = +172 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 59%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 25-14
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Bears 31–23Bears at Falcons100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.72 difficulty = +172 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 52%, Falcons 48%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 31-23
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Titans 26–20Titans at Colts0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TEN
- score:
- 26-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
Houston Texans to beat Jaguars
“Texans vs. Jaguars (London, England) — Albert Breer: Texans”
Texans 34–31Texans at Jaguars100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.72 difficulty = +172 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5 · underdog pick, Texans 44%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Saints 34–27Saints at Giants0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.72 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Oct 18): a toss-up, about even (Saints 50%, Giants 50%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NO
- score:
- 34-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- Broncos 17–14Seahawks at Broncos0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.72 difficulty = −172 skill
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 14-17
- skill:
- −172
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on each- Seahawks at BroncosBroncos 17Seahawks 1451 calls →
- Texans at JaguarsTexans 34Jaguars 3133 calls →
- Jets at PatriotsPatriots 26Jets 1924 calls →
- Titans at ColtsTitans 26Colts 2042 calls →
- Ravens at BrownsBrowns 13Ravens 1021 calls →
- Panthers at EaglesPanthers 25Eagles 1423 calls →
- Steelers at BuccaneersSteelers 26Buccaneers 1920 calls →
- Saints at GiantsSaints 34Giants 2722 calls →
- Bears at FalconsBears 31Falcons 2325 calls →
- Cardinals at RamsCardinals 18Rams 1633 calls →
- Chargers at ChiefsChiefs 22Chargers 630 calls →
- Bills at RaidersBills 33Raiders 3023 calls →
- Cowboys at PackersPackers 23Cowboys 1336 calls →
- Commanders at 49ers49ers 23Commanders 1727 calls →
Who this take is about
San Francisco 49ers, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers, Los Angeles Rams, Baltimore Ravens, New England Patriots, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Indianapolis Colts, Houston Texans, New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gennaro Filice · Game Outcome Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Picks the Vikings to beat the Bills.Dan Graziano · Game Outcome Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Picks the Vikings to upset the Bills.John Breech · Game Outcome Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Picks the Vikings to win.Brad Gagnon · Game Outcome Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Picks the Vikings to beat the Bills.