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Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 13, 2026

Dubin is high on the Ravens and low on the Colts, predicting a big Baltimore road win.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Ravens 41–23What happenedRavens at Colts
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

It all adds up to a big Ravens win.
Our reading: Baltimore Ravens to beat Colts
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 1 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who has edge in Bills-Texans? Can Saints upset Lions?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 13
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Colts

    What happenedRavens 41–23Ravens at Colts
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 59%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    41-23
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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