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Cody KesslerFeb 27, 2025

Kessler said Texas A&M's Shemar Stewart will test very well at the combine, referencing Stewart's own stated goal of running a low 4.5 or high 4.4 forty.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

60Close · out of 100
4.59What happenedcalled 4.5
68.8A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
60.41This callout of 100
−8.39Skillafter difficulty

What Cody Kessler said

I think he's going to test very well because he's so athletic at the combine
Our reading: Shemar Stewart to post either a low four five or a high four four forty at the combine
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 1: Breaking NFL Combine news! Top Defensive Prospects, Combine Trivia
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 27, 2025
  2. GradedAug 18, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 60.4 out of 100, against 68.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Combine MeasurementsShemar Stewart

    Shemar Stewart to post either a low four five or a high four four forty at the combine

    What happened4.59called 4.5
    60.41Close · naive 68.8
    60.41this call68.8a naive guess−8.39worse than naive1difficulty−8.39skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    0.09
    drill:
    forty time
    naive:
    the average EDGE (4.66, from 90 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 0.12 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
    skill:
    −8.39
    player:
    Shemar Stewart
    result:
    4.59
    season:
    2024
    combine year:
    2025
    accuracy:
    60.41
    baseline:
    68.8
    they said:
    4.5
    sigmas out:
    0.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

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