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Nate Tice#17 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 8, 2025

In a first-round mock draft on NFL Daily, Tice made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and running through Josh Simmons to the Chiefs at 31. They also pegged Grey Zabel as a back-half-of-round-one talent.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

12 of 17picks landed12 hits · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled
89.12The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50
+39.12Skillthe mock as a whole
77.6Per pickaverage, out of 100
#17Nate Tice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nate Tice said

Number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback.
Nate Tice, the lead quote
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Mock Draft with Nate Tice!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 8, 2025
  2. GradedOct 1, 2026

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Round 111320
Picks 0–01000
All12320

How the mock scored

17 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 33 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 17 have settled, averaging 77.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

mock pick 132 →132later
Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed.

The mock as a whole

89.12this mock’s order50a shuffled mock39.12better than naive1difficulty+39.12skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting
Round 1 · picks 1–3211 hits · 3 close calls · 2 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
1TENCam Wardquarterback1100
3NYGAbdul Carteredge3100
5JAXMason Grahamdefensive tackle5100
7NYJColston Lovelandtight end1088
9NOArmand Membouoffensive tackle792
11SFMykel Williamsedge11100
13MIAMalaki Starkssafety2755
15ATLMike Greenedge5915
17CINDerrick Harmondefensive tackle2184
19TBShemar Stewartedge1792
21PITShavon Revel Jr.cornerback769
23GBKenneth Grantdefensive tackle1365
25HOUJosh Conerly Jr.offensive tackle2984
27BALDonovan Jacksonguard2488
29WASDonovan Ezeiruakuedge4452
31KCJosh Simmonsoffensive tackle3296
Picks 0–01 hitShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
0—Grey Zabeloffensive lineman18100

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.