David Harrison· May 18, 2026
Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games he projects them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). He also says the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable.
“But eight wins, certainly doable.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 8 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
2 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Washington Commanders · 2026 season · wins12 calls from 9 pundits between 1 wins and 9 wins. David Harrison said 8 wins. the room's median is 7 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Commanders at Cowboys 17 calls
- Seahawks at Commanders 48 calls
- Colts at Commanders 3 calls
- Giants at Commanders 4 calls
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Seattle Seahawks
“it's gonna be week three at home against the Seattle Seahawks ... They're gonna have a chance and potentially come out with a win that I think is is safe to say at this stage would shock the world”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 31-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Dallas Cowboys
“And finally, the eighth game of the year, I'm projecting a win for the Washington commanders right now ... the Dallas Cowboys.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Tennessee Titans
“Next up, week 13 ... you're still on the road at the Tennessee Titans ... So I just don't think they're gonna have enough to get this done.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Next game up, I think week four against the Indianapolis Colts. So very next week, obviously, you're in London.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Arizona Cardinals
“Our next win, projection on the roster, our fifth one of the season, week 12 in Arizona.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta Falcons
“The seventh win that I can see can see coming. Week 15 against the Atlanta Falcons”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat New York Giants
“I think that's the way that the Washington air sealed his victory against the New York Giants in week five.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to finish with 8 wins
“how do we get the commanders to eight wins? ... So how do the watch experience get to eight? How do they hit the over on that seven and a half wins?”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat New York Giants
“we're gonna move from week five to week 10. And, again, it's the New York Giants. This time, it's at the New York Giants ... you gotta sweep the giants”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Terry McLaurinHit · 100Hughes surveys Washington's remaining roster questions, asserting that Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs are locks for the 53-man roster and that Antonio Williams has essentially secured a spot as the third receiver, while Percy Butler's standing improved after safety cuts.
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Frankie LuvuHit · 100Hughes projects Washington's initial 53-man roster ahead of the final preseason game, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, and slots Athan Kaliakmanis as the No. 3 quarterback behind Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Antonio WilliamsHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason snap-count review that draws depth-chart, roster-spot and fantasy conclusions from the first week of preseason games — naming starters and backups across nearly every team, flagging sleepers such as Keaton Mitchell, Tyjae Spears, Jahan Dotson and Greg Dulcich, and fading players like Mike Gesicki, Pat Freiermuth, Gunnar Helm and Cam Skattebo.
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game.
- Chris SimmsGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Rogers predicted the Bills would beat the Lions in their new stadium on Thursday night, winning by a touchdown.
- Phil SimmsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.