David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · May 18, 2026

Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games they project them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). They also say the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 misses · 4 waiting

40Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

60A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

7Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#57David Harrison’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What David Harrison said

But eight wins, certainly doable.

David Harrison, the lead quote

Where it was said: Locked On Commanders (podcast)
The episode: 8-WIN ROADMAP: Commanders MOST LIKELY Path to Surpassing 7.5 Win Total Projection in 2026
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidMay 18
PlayedSep 20–Oct 11
GradedSep 21–Oct 11

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Game Outcome Picks	1	2	2	3
Season Win Totals	0	0	0	1
All	1	2	2	4

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 8 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

5 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 40 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Washington Commanders · 2026 season · wins

David Harrison — 8 winsthe room — 13 calls from 10 punditsmedian 7 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Game Outcome Picks1 hit · 2 close calls · 2 misses · 3 waitingShow ▸

Washington Commanders to beat New York Giants
“I think that's the way that the Washington air sealed his victory against the New York Giants in week five.”
Washington Commanders
Tied 27–27Giants at Commanders
50Close
50 − 50 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
tie
score:
27-27
skill:
0
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat New York Giants
“we're gonna move from week five to week 10. And, again, it's the New York Giants. This time, it's at the New York Giants ... you gotta sweep the giants”
Washington Commanders
Tied 27–27Giants at Commanders
50Close
50 − 50 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
tie
score:
27-27
skill:
0
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Next game up, I think week four against the Indianapolis Colts. So very next week, obviously, you're in London.”
Washington Commanders
Colts 30–13Colts at Commanders
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
IND
score:
30-13
skill:
0
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat Seattle Seahawks
“it's gonna be week three at home against the Seattle Seahawks ... They're gonna have a chance and potentially come out with a win that I think is is safe to say at this stage would shock the world”
Washington Commanders
Commanders 33–31Seahawks at Commanders
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
WAS
score:
31-33
skill:
0
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat Dallas Cowboys
“And finally, the eighth game of the year, I'm projecting a win for the Washington commanders right now ... the Dallas Cowboys.”
Washington Commanders
Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
won:
DAL
score:
20-37
skill:
−200
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat Tennessee Titans
“Next up, week 13 ... you're still on the road at the Tennessee Titans ... So I just don't think they're gonna have enough to get this done.”
Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat Arizona Cardinals
“Our next win, projection on the roster, our fifth one of the season, week 12 in Arizona.”
Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta Falcons
“The seventh win that I can see can see coming. Week 15 against the Atlanta Falcons”
Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸

Washington Commanders to finish with 8 wins
“how do we get the commanders to eight wins? ... So how do the watch experience get to eight? How do they hit the over on that seven and a half wins?”
Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?