Chad MillmanMar 19, 2026
Going through the 2026 NFL win totals, Milman took the over on Buffalo, Carolina, Atlanta, Washington, Dallas, Denver and Houston, and expects Tua to open as Atlanta's starting quarterback.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Chad Millman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromDenver nine and a half, I'll take the over.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- Sharp or Square - NFL SEASON WIN TOTALS Part 2
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- 1Carolina Panthers to finish with 6.5 wins“I also took Carolina over six and a half. I believe you called that quote a trap unquote”
- 2Houston Texans to finish with 9.5 wins“Houston nine and a half over No... I believe more in the Texans defense than in the Jags defense”
- 3Washington Commanders to finish with 7.5 wins“Washington seven and a half, I'd go with the over there... Daniels is back for a full season, and their defense can only get better”
- 4Atlanta Falcons to finish with 7.5 wins“Atlanta seven and a half, I'm gonna go with the I'm going with the over.”
- 5Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins“Denver nine and a half, I'll take the over... I think that Sean Payton is good enough coach that a ten and seventeen with this talent is not at all inconceivable to me.”
- 6Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart“Tua has gone to Atlanta. He will be the starter.”
- 7Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins“so far we have talked about like in Buffalo over ten and a half”
- 8Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8.5 wins“So I'll take the over eight and a half on the Cowboys.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers to finish with 6.5 wins1 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Houston Texans to finish with 9.5 wins2 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Washington Commanders to finish with 7.5 wins3 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Atlanta Falcons to finish with 7.5 wins4 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins5 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart6 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins7 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8.5 wins8 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 8 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
8 checkable claims — 7 season win totals and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 8 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 6.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Houston Texans · 2026 season · wins11 calls from 8 pundits between 1 wins and 13 wins. Chad Millman said 9.5 wins. the room's median is 11 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
winsTheir call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Season Win TotalsCarolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers to finish with 6.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Season Win TotalsHouston Texans
Houston Texans to finish with 9.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Season Win TotalsWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to finish with 7.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Season Win TotalsAtlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 7.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Season Win TotalsDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaAtlanta Falcons
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Season Win TotalsBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
8Season Win TotalsDallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks.Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.