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JP Acosta· Feb 18, 2026

Acosta names five favorite 2026 draft prospects, projecting draft ranges for each: R Mason Thomas late first/early second, Trayden Stukes as a day-two pick, Oscar Delp around round four, plus praise for Jonah Coleman and Josiah Trotter (whom he'd see in the top 50 mix per co-host).

“I think the in a perfect world, I draft him towards the back end of round one and the early round two.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

9 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks and 3 combine measurements — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 66.9 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

9 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • R Mason Thomas to post six one half at the combine

    “I think he's six one half, two fifty. Gonna have sub thirty three inch arms. He's probably gonna measure at.”

    Close · 76Scored 76.31a naive guess scored 38.08+38.23 skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    0.5
    drill:
    height in
    naive:
    the average EDGE (75.79, from 149 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 1.28 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
    skill:
    38.23
    player:
    R Mason Thomas
    result:
    74
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.31
    baseline:
    38.08
    predicted:
    73.5
    sigmas out:
    0.39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

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  • “five nine, 228 pound Jonah Coleman”

    Close · 63Scored 63.27a naive guess scored 54.1+9.17 skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    8
    drill:
    weight lbs
    naive:
    the average RB (209.27, from 211 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 12.11 — one standard deviation for a RB
    skill:
    9.17
    player:
    Jonah Coleman
    result:
    220
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    63.27
    baseline:
    54.1
    predicted:
    228
    sigmas out:
    0.66
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?

  • “I think he's six one half, two fifty.”

    Close · 56Scored 56.39a naive guess scored 41.65+14.74 skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    9
    drill:
    weight lbs
    naive:
    the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
    skill:
    14.74
    player:
    R Mason Thomas
    result:
    241
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    56.39
    baseline:
    41.65
    predicted:
    250
    sigmas out:
    0.83
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mike Washington to be picked “top 100 pick” (picks 1–100)

    “there's probably one more outside of Love, Coleman, Price, and I think it's Mike Washington from Arkansas”

    Miss · 39Scored 38.56a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Mike Washington
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    38.56
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    122
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    38.56
    predicted pick:
    top 100 pick (picks 1–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    “the guy ahead of him is probably going to be a top 10 pick because that guy is rightfully great in Jeremiah Love”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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  • R Mason Thomas to be picked “towards the back end of round one and the early round two”

    “I think the in a perfect world, I draft him towards the back end of round one and the early round two.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Oscar Delp to be picked “around round four”

    “So I do think he'll probably get drafted around round four, but I'm curious what happens after the combine.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Jonah Coleman to be picked “round two or round three”

    “Honestly, I think Kansas City in round two or or round two or round three would make a lot of sense”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Treydan Stukes to be picked “more of a day two guy”

    “I honestly think his best role and I sort of think he's gonna be more of a day two guy, but, again, a very strong combine. We could be looking at a guy that could sneak into the back of round one.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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