Eric WilliamsSep 25, 2026
Williams picks the Chargers as the 0-2 team to rebound, comparing it to the 2017 team that started 0-4 and finished 9-7, and suggests they will rise up on the road against Buffalo rather than collapse.
Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original
What Eric Williams said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI expect a similar resuscitation effort from Jim Harbaugh here.
- Where it was published
- Fox Sports
- The piece
- Which 0-2 Team Will Turn It Around? Why We Think The Texans Are Most Likely To Do So
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 24
- PlayedSep 27
- GradedSep 28
- 1Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills“get ready for the Chargers to do Chargers things on the road against the best team in the NFL in the Buffalo Bills, right? Nope, when everyone expects them to fall on their face, these are the moments the Chargers rise up and hit teams over their heads.”
- 2Los Angeles Chargers to beat expectations“I expect a similar resuscitation effort from Jim Harbaugh here.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills1 | Game Outcome Picks | Bills 24–16 | 0 | 100 | −189 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat expectations2 | Surprise Team Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 0 | 100 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills
What happenedBills 24–16Chargers at Bills0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.89difficulty=−189skillClosing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7 · underdog pick, Chargers about 1 in 4 (27%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 16-24
- skill:
- −189
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
2Surprise Team CallsLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat expectations
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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