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Rich Eisen· May 30, 2025

Rich Eisen ranks the five toughest divisions in football (NFC North first, AFC West second, NFC East third, AFC North fourth, NFC West fifth, plus AFC East as a bonus), predicts Dak Prescott will eventually win a Super Bowl for Dallas, calls the Chiefs division favorites with about 12 wins, sees the Broncos defense as top-five, and says Bucky Irving should break out.

“The NFC North isn't just the toughest division in football right now, but maybe the toughest the NFC North has ever been.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 position group ranking, 1 season win total, 1 super bowl pick and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    “They're still, I think, the favorites to win this division.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys to win the Super Bowl

    “I do think I do think Dax gonna win you that suit.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins

    “I don't know about 15 wins is good this year, but 12. Right?”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    naive:
    11.75
    skill:
    0
    what happened:
    6
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    5
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    predicted:
    12
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations

    “And then you know how I feel about how Pete's gonna plus up the Raiders. ... They are going to be an improved team.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • “their defense is top five potential”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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