Richard Sherman#43 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026
Sherman picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 24-10 in the Super Bowl, with Sam Darnold winning game MVP, and they also expect Matthew Stafford to be named league MVP and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year.
Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Richard Sherman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromthe Seattle Seahawks walk away with a decisive victory twenty four to ten over the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl
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- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- Richard Sherman Podcast - Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl Pick: Maye vs. Darnold, Seattle D, Pats X-factors | Richard Sherman NFL
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidFeb 3
- GradedAug 7–Oct 9
- 1Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP“MVP of this game... No, it's gonna go to Sam Donald Mentell, Sam Darnald the guy”
- 2Matthew Stafford to win MVP“the fact that he had to go against the MVP of the league this year, which I'm assuming in Matthew Stafford”
- 3Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year“He's been fantastic. He's probably Offensive Player of the Year.”
- 4Seattle Seahawks 24 — New England Patriots 10“the Seattle Seahawks walk away with a decisive victory twenty four to ten over the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl”
- 5Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“I got the Seahawks winning this game... I expect them to win this game.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP1 | Award Picks | Kenneth Walker III won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Matthew Stafford to win MVP2 | Award Picks | Matthew Stafford won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year3 | Award Picks | Jaxon Smith-Njigba won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Seattle Seahawks 24 — New England Patriots 104 | Score Predictions | — | 95.24 | 16.73 | +78.5 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl5 | Super Bowl Picks | SEA won it | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| 5 calls · 4 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 79 | 3.3 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive5 checkable claims — 3 award picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 79 out of 100, against 3.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Award PicksSam DarnoldSeattle Seahawks
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP
What happenedKenneth Walker III woncalled Sam Darnold0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- super_bowl_mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Kenneth Walker III
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Award PicksJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJaxon Smith-Njigba won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 24 — New England Patriots 10
VerdictHit95.24Hit · naive 16.7395.24this call−16.73a naive guess=78.51better than naive×1difficulty=+78.5skillClosing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 24–10 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 14) and fewer points (34).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 29-13
- skill:
- 78.5
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 16.73
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 14
5Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
79naive 3.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Eisen expects Sam Darnold to remain in Minnesota rather than leave in free agency, and believes the Browns will trade Myles Garrett out of the conference, to an NFC team.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Kyle Brandt · Award Picks · James Cook · Miss 0
Predicted the Bills make the playoffs and beat the Steelers, Chiefs and Ravens en route to a 20-19 Super Bowl win over the Eagles on a last-second 47-yard field goal, with James Cook as Super Bowl MVP. They also picked the Eagles to win tonight's opener... actually their in-game score pick was the Bills-Eagles Super Bowl.