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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026

Prisco picks Seattle to win on the road in Denver 23-17, citing the Broncos' offensive struggles against a tough Seahawks defense.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

43Close · out of 100
Broncos 17–14What happenedcalled Seahawks by 6 · lost by 3
93.6A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
42.86This callout of 100
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

Pick: Seahawks 23, Broncos 17
Our reading: Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 17
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Seahawks vs. Broncos Week 6 Expert Pick Roundup: Can Seattle Bounce Back?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 15
  3. GradedOct 16

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 42.9 out of 100, against 93.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 17

    What happenedBroncos 17–14called Seahawks by 6 · lost by 3
    42.86Close · naive 93.6
    42.86this call93.6a naive guess−50.74worse than naive1.72difficulty−87.28skill

    Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 6) and fewer points (40).

    How this was scored
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    −87.28
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    93.6
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.31
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

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