Ryan Girdusky· Sep 18, 2026
Girdusky argues that amid a broad Democratic advantage in the generic ballot, Republicans have isolated bright spots driven by popular or unpopular governors. He predicts New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte is nearly certain to win re-election, says Abdul El-Sayed looks likely to become Michigan's next senator, and says Black voters in Los Angeles will re-elect Maxine Waters.
“And unless something breaks soon, it looks like El-Sayed is probably going to be the senator from that state.”
said on air or in an interview · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 3 race winners — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
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3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Race WinnersSep 18, 2026
“Also, super popular Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte, almost sure to win re-election.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 18, 2026
“And unless something breaks soon, it looks like El-Sayed is probably going to be the senator from that state, I'm just saying.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Race WinnersSep 18, 2026
“You're going to vote for it again in November. You're going to reelect Maxine Waters.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
More race winners
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