Jamie Erdahl#31 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 6, 2025
Jamie picked Malaki Starks as Defensive Rookie of the Year, Ashton Jeanty as Offensive Rookie of the Year, and predicted a Broncos-Vikings Super Bowl with Minnesota winning its first Lombardi.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Jamie Erdahl said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI have the Vikings winning the NFC North and the NFC and I'm not sorry that the Broncos are going to be the AFC champions.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- GMFB Saturday: Prediction Week Bests, Offensive and Defensive ROY, Playoff Predictions, and Super Bowl Picks!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidSep 6, 2025
- GradedAug 7–17, 2026
- 1Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl“I have the Vikings winning the NFC North and the NFC”
- 2Minnesota Vikings to win the division“I have the Vikings winning the NFC North and the NFC”
- 3Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl“you will see the Denver Broncos as your AFC champions and the Minnesota Vikings as your...”
- 4Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl“the Minnesota Vikings, in their fifth Super Bowl appearance, will finally, for the first time in the history of the organization win a Lombardi”
- 5Ashton Jeanty to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“Ashton Genty Rookie of the Year”
- 6Malaki Starks to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“it's going to be a defensive Rookie of the Year”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Minnesota Vikings to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl3 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 50 | 0 | +100 | |
| Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl4 | Super Bowl Picks | SEA won it | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ashton Jeanty to win Offensive Rookie of the Year5 | Award Picks | Tetairoa McMillan won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Malaki Starks to win Defensive Rookie of the Year6 | Award Picks | Carson Schwesinger won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 calls · 1 close call · 5 misses · all settled | 8.3 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive6 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 2 conference champions, 1 division winner and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 8.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked MIN0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
2Division WinnersMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
3Conference ChampionsDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked DEN50Close · naive 050this call−0a naive guess=50better than naive×2difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
4Super Bowl PicksMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked MIN0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
5Award PicksAshton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Ashton Jeanty to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedTetairoa McMillan woncalled Ashton Jeanty0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
6Award PicksMalaki StarksBaltimore Ravens
Malaki Starks to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedCarson Schwesinger woncalled Malaki Starks0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Malaki Starks
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Carson Schwesinger
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
8.3naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl.