Skip to main content

Jonathan JonesFeb 26, 2026

Jones expects Anthony Richardson to be traded, likely for roughly a fifth-round pick, and to serve as a backup rather than a starter in 2026. They also lay out a series of quarterback-market predictions: Aaron Rodgers back with the Steelers, Tua off the Dolphins roster, Daniel Jones ultimately staying as the Colts' starter, Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders competing for Cleveland's QB1 job, Will Levis most likely of the veteran backups to be traded, and Kirk Cousins possibly landing in Arizona.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 5 waiting
94.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
58.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 8Settled5 still waiting
5Waitingnot graded yet

What Jonathan Jones said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Ultimately, I believe that Daniel Jones will be the quarterback of the Colts.
Jonathan Jones, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Combine News & Notes: Anthony Richardson Trade Rumors | QB Carousel | MUCH MORE!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 26
  2. GradedAug 14–Sep 23
  1. 1Will Levis to move to Tennessee Titans“most likely to be traded out of that group would be Will Levis”
  2. 2Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart“He's going somewhere to be a backup next year to just kinda see what you got. Yeah... But I don't have any evidence from his play that he's going to be able to do that to start '26.”
  3. 3Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“Ultimately, I believe that Daniel Jones will be the quarterback of the Colts.”
  4. 4Tua Tagovailoa to move to Miami Dolphins“No. No. Tua won't Tua won't be on the team.”
  5. 5Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart“I see this playing out as Deshaun and Shador are battling it out for QB one.”
  6. 6Anthony Richardson to move“I did not really see where Anthony Richardson was gonna be a member of the Indianapolis Colts in 2026... You start getting into that fifth round range, and that that's probably the sweet spot. That's probably what's gonna wind up happening.”
  7. 7Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers“Steelers, Aaron Rodgers. I think that they know that he's coming back... I think that he's their plan”
  8. 8Kirk Cousins to move to Arizona Cardinals“I don't know that cousins just maybe to Arizona.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Will Levis to move to Tennessee Titans1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 483.3375+8.33
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
Tua Tagovailoa to move to Miami Dolphins4Trade and Signing Calls————
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart5Depth Chart Calls————
Anthony Richardson to move6Trade and Signing Calls————
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers7Trade and Signing Calls————
Kirk Cousins to move to Arizona Cardinals8Trade and Signing Calls————
8 calls · 3 hits · 5 waiting94.458.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

8 checkable claims — 5 trade and signing calls and 3 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 94.4 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsWill LevisTennessee Titans

    Will Levis to move to Tennessee Titans

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Will Levis
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    TEN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → NYJ (from TEN)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsAnthony Richardson

    Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 4called No. 2 · by passing yards
    83.33Hit · naive 75
    83.33this call75a naive guess8.33better than naive1difficulty+8.33skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Anthony Richardson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    75
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsDaniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsTua TagovailoaMiami Dolphins

    Tua Tagovailoa to move to Miami Dolphins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns

    Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Trade and Signing CallsAaron RodgersPittsburgh Steelers

    Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. 8Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsArizona Cardinals

    Kirk Cousins to move to Arizona Cardinals

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  9. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    94.4naive 58.3

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.