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Jordan Dajani· Sep 17, 2026

Dajani picks the Bills 36-30 over the Lions and the Texans to beat the Bengals 27-23 in Houston.

“I think DeMeco Ryans is going to have this defense ready to roll and rebound in their second straight home game.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 47.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Houston Texans 27 — Bengals 23

    “Jordan Dajani -- Texans (-2.5) 27-23 over Bengals.”

    Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 15.44+20.86 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    20.86
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    15.44
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    -0.52
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills 36 — Lions 30

    “Jordan Dajani's pick: Bills 36-30 over Lions”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 79.41+21.46 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    31-41
    skill:
    21.46
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    79.41
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    1.35
    predicted margin:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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