Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 17, 2026

Dajani picks the Bills 36-30 over the Lions and the Texans to beat the Bengals 27-23 in Houston.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
58.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
47.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think DeMeco Ryans is going to have this defense ready to roll and rebound in their second straight home game.
Jordan Dajani, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Lions-Bills predictions for Thursday, plus NFL Week 2 picks for all 16 games and ranking each starting QB
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 17–20
  3. GradedSep 18–21
  1. 1Houston Texans 27 — Bengals 23“Jordan Dajani -- Texans (-2.5) 27-23 over Bengals.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills 36 — Lions 30“Jordan Dajani's pick: Bills 36-30 over Lions”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans 27 — Bengals 231Score PredictionsBengals 20–626.1915.44+20.86
Buffalo Bills 36 — Lions 302Score PredictionsBills 41–3190.4879.41+21.46
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled58.347.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 47.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans 27 — Bengals 23

    What happenedBengals 20–6called Texans by 4 · lost by 14
    26.19Miss · naive 15.44
    26.19this call15.44a naive guess10.75better than naive1.94difficulty+20.86skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Texans win (by 4) and more points (50). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    20.86
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    15.44
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 36 — Lions 30

    What happenedBills 41–31called Bills by 6 · won by 10
    90.48Hit · naive 79.41
    90.48this call79.41a naive guess11.07better than naive1.94difficulty+21.46skill

    Closing line (Sep 17): Bills by 5.5, total 54.5 · this 36–30 calls a bigger Bills win (by 6) and more points (66).

    How this was scored
    score:
    31-41
    skill:
    21.46
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    79.41
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    1.35
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    58.3naive 47.4

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these