Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2026
Fitzmaurice fades Rico Dowdle at their RB32/86th-overall ADP, believing Jaylen Warren will be Pittsburgh's primary back, and calls Trey McBride a landmine at their top-20 ADP due to expected target and touchdown regression.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Pat Fitzmaurice said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWarren is the better bet to serve as Pittsburgh’s primary running back, leaving Dowdle at risk of handling a smaller role than many fantasy managers expect.
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- 7 Fantasy Football Draft Landmines Experts Avoid (2026)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (the RB32 and 86th overall)“Rico Dowdle is going as the RB32 and 86th overall... leaving Dowdle at risk of handling a smaller role than many fantasy managers expect.”
- 2Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-20 ADP)“Trey McBride has a top-20 ADP... his target volume and touchdown total are both strong candidates to regress. He may still play well without delivering the type of production needed to justify selecting him in the middle of the second round.”
- 3Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart“Warren is the better bet to serve as Pittsburgh’s primary running back”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (the RB32 and 86th overall)1 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-20 ADP)2 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 3 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
3 checkable claims — 2 fantasy bust calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Jaylen Warren · 2026 season11 calls from 8 pundits between 1 and 2. Pat Fitzmaurice said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
1Fantasy Bust CallsRico DowdlePittsburgh Steelers
Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (the RB32 and 86th overall)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Fantasy Bust CallsTrey McBrideArizona Cardinals
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-20 ADP)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Depth Chart CallsJaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers
Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Pittsburgh Steelers · Close 60
DeArdo picks the Steelers to beat the Browns at home in Week 8, citing Pittsburgh's quarterback edge and a running game that should exploit Cleveland's weak run defense.Greg Jennings · Game Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Jennings backed the Vikings to upset the Lions in Detroit, put chips on the Steelers over the Browns, and took the Chiefs to win in Denver.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Pittsburgh Steelers · Close 74
Simms gave straight-up winners with predicted final scores for every Week 8 game, including upset calls on the Ravens in Buffalo, the Broncos over the Chiefs, the Jets over the Raiders and the Seahawks over the Bears, and they expected Josh Downs to play for the Colts despite their trade request.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Zay Flowers · Miss 0
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Fantasy Bust Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Simon Hunter · Fantasy Bust Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Hit 100
Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking them in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.