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Derek Brown· Aug 9, 2025

Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as his ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City.

“Exavi your worthy, man, it's got to be Exavier worthy.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 3 fantasy bust calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 20.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Fantasy Bust CallsChuba HubbardCarolina PanthersAug 9, 2025

    Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (top twenty RB)

    “Chuba Hubbard is going to be one of your biggest bus as far as adyp gos top twenty RB in there... So I think we cannot be expecting last year to repat heat”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    bust
    cost:
    top twenty RB
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Chuba Hubbard
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB13
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB42
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fantasy Bust CallsXavier WorthyKansas City ChiefsAug 9, 2025

    Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six)

    “Exavi your worthy, man, it's got to be Exavier worthy. He is going as a top twenty four wide receiver in a lot of different spots right on EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six. I can't draft him at that spot.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    bust
    cost:
    EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Xavier Worthy
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR32
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR59
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fantasy Bust CallsKyren WilliamsLos Angeles RamsAug 9, 2025

    Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR)

    “This is Kieren Williams. He's RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR. And I can't rank Kien Williams that high... This is not a player that I want to spend an RB one or at least pay an RB one price tag for in Fantasy for twenty twenty five.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    bust
    cost:
    RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kyren Williams
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB6
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB8
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsRashee RiceKansas City ChiefsAug 9, 2025

    Rashee Rice to be 1st on the depth chart

    “because Rashid Rice is the number one, the clear number one in this offense and it's not Worthy”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 83.33+33.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    KC
    skill:
    33.33
    player:
    Rashee Rice
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    3
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

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