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Manti Te'o#65 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 5, 2025

For the Week 1 survival pool they took the Broncos to beat the Titans in Denver, and separately said they have the Rams reaching the Super Bowl.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#65Manti Te'o’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Manti Te'o said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I got the Denver Broncles beating at Tennessee Titans at home.
Manti Te'o, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Friday Hour 2: Eagles Win, LB Nik Bonitto, Mad Minute, and Survivor Picks!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“Why because I have the Rams in my Super Bowl And if he is, I hope, to KP's point earlier in this show, Week one, I hope you're a liar because I need him there.”
  2. 2Denver Broncos to beat Tennessee Titans“I'm choosing one game that I'm pretty sure is going to win this and I got the Denver Broncles beating at Tennessee Titans at home.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won500+100
Denver Broncos to beat Tennessee Titans2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled7550

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 conference champion and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive2difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Tennessee Titans

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Broncos by 8.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 4 in 5 (79%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    12-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 50

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.