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Shanna McCarriston#10 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 3, 2026

They pick the 49ers to beat the Broncos at Levi's Stadium, saying the game will be competitive but San Francisco moves to 4-0.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
49ers 24–14What happenedBroncos at 49ers
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#10Shanna McCarriston’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shanna McCarriston said

The 49ers haven't given me a reason to believe they won't win this game, and while I think it will be competitive, I think they improve to 4-0.
Our reading: San Francisco 49ers to beat Broncos
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
49ers vs. Broncos prediction: MVP favorite Brock Purdy and San Francisco look to stay undef
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 3
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Broncos

    What happened49ers 24–14Broncos at 49ers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3 · favorite pick, 49ers 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    14-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

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