Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 12, 2025

Cowherd's Blazing Five picks: Bengals over Ravens 27-24, Rams over Lions 33-26, Panthers over Saints 30-23, Packers over Broncos 28-24, and the under in Colts-Seahawks (they see Seattle winning big, 30-6 or 24-6).

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 3 close calls · 1 miss · all settled

46.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

74.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

5 of 5Settlednone still waiting

#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Twenty seven twenty four Cincinnati beats the stumbling Ravens.

Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode: THE HERD - Hour 2 - Colin's new Blazing 5 picks for week 15, Caleb Williams' development so far, the Chiefs are on the brink, Carson Palmer
The original: Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidDec 12, 2025
GradedAug 7–17, 2026

1Carolina Panthers 30 — Saints 23“I'm gonna take the Panthers to win and to cover thirty twenty three.”
2Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Ravens 24“Twenty seven twenty four Cincinnati beats the stumbling Ravens.”
3Green Bay Packers 28 — Broncos 24“I'm gonna take Green Bay minus the points to win and cover twenty eight twenty four.”
4Seattle Seahawks 30 — Colts 6“I think the Seahawks blow them out thirty to six”
5Los Angeles Rams 33 — Lions 26“I think the Rams win and the Rams cover. Final score thirty three, twenty six.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Carolina Panthers 30 — Saints 23¹	Score Predictions	—	40.48	97.69	−69.8
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Ravens 24²	Score Predictions	—	0	0	0
Green Bay Packers 28 — Broncos 24³	Score Predictions	—	40.48	85.78	−55.27
Seattle Seahawks 30 — Colts 6⁴	Score Predictions	—	50	99.93	−60.92
Los Angeles Rams 33 — Lions 26⁵	Score Predictions	—	100	88.16	+14.44
5 calls · 1 hit · 3 close calls · 1 miss · all settled			46.2	74.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 46.2 out of 100, against 74.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers 30 — Saints 23
VerdictClose
40.48Close · naive 97.69
40.48this call97.69a naive guess−57.21worse than naive1.22difficulty−69.8skill
Closing line (Dec 14): Panthers by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 30–23 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 7) and more points (53). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
17-20
skill:
−69.8
they picked:
CAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
97.69
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
4
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Ravens 24
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.22difficulty0skill
Closing line (Dec 14): Ravens by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 27–24 calls a Bengals win (by 3; the line gave the Bengals 41%) and fewer points (51).
How this was scored
score:
24-0
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
4
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers 28 — Broncos 24
VerdictClose
40.48Close · naive 85.78
40.48this call85.78a naive guess−45.3worse than naive1.22difficulty−55.27skill
Closing line (Dec 14): Packers by 1.5, total 42.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Packers win (by 4) and more points (52). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
26-34
skill:
−55.27
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
85.78
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
4
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
4Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 30 — Colts 6
VerdictClose
50Close · naive 99.93
50this call99.93a naive guess−49.93worse than naive1.22difficulty−60.92skill
Closing line (Dec 14): Seahawks by 13.5, total 41.5 · this 30–6 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 24) and fewer points (36).
How this was scored
score:
16-18
skill:
−60.92
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
99.93
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
4
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
24
Think this is wrong?
5Score Predictions Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams 33 — Lions 26
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 88.16
100this call88.16a naive guess11.84better than naive1.22difficulty+14.44skill
Closing line (Dec 14): Rams by 5.5, total 54.5 · this 33–26 calls a bigger Rams win (by 7) and more points (59). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
34-41
skill:
14.44
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
88.16
difficulty:
1.22
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
4
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
46.2naive 74.3