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Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 10, 2026

The CBS Sports preview picks the Rams to beat the 49ers 31-21 in the Week 1 game in Melbourne, and also names the Rams as its Super Bowl winner for the season.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
26.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Pick: Rams 31, 49ers 21
Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Rams vs. 49ers: NFC West rivals go head to head in historic season opener in Australia
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 10
  2. PlayedSep 10
  3. GradedSep 12
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams 31 — 49ers 21“Pick: Rams 31, 49ers 21”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl“The Rams are, unsurprisingly, my pick to win the Super Bowl this season.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams 31 — 49ers 211Score Predictions49ers 27–726.190+52.38
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl Picks————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting26.20

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 26.2 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 31 — 49ers 21

    What happened49ers 27–7called Rams by 10 · lost by 20
    26.19Miss · naive 0
    26.19this call0a naive guess26.19better than naive2difficulty+52.38skill

    Closing line (Sep 10): Rams by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Rams win (by 10) and more points (52).

    How this was scored
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    52.38
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    −8.5
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.