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Ty Schmit· Nov 2, 2026

Schmidt liked the Bears on Monday night in Seattle, pointing to Caleb Williams and the cold, wet 'Bear weather' conditions.

“I actually do fancy the Bears tonight quite a bit.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks

    “Yeah. I actually do fancy the Bears tonight quite a bit... So, I actually am going to take the bears in the points.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.

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