Chris RoseMar 6, 2025
Hosting a mock free-agency draft, Rose predicted destinations for Nick Bolton, Carlton Davis, Russell Wilson, Malcolm Koonce, Stefon Diggs, Byron Murphy, Chase Young and Jacoby Brissett, plus Justin Fields returning to Pittsburgh, Ronnie Stanley leaving Baltimore, and the Browns trading up to No. 1 to take Cam Ward.
Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Rose said
I do believe that the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward.
- Where it was said
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Free Agency PREDICTIONS
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMar 5, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Sep 18, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade and Signing Calls | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | |
| Team Draft Slot Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mock Draft Picks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
How each call scored
14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 14.2 out of 100, against 50.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Trade and Signing Calls11 misses · 1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Russell Wilson to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“even if he goes out and gives a little bit of money to Russell Wilson to rejoin forces with Pete Carroll, so be it ... when he ends up in Las Vegas, I will gladly take those twenty points.”
Ended up with NYGcalled LV0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Byron Murphy to move to New England Patriots
“All I'm saying is that Byron Murphy will be a New England Patriot”
Ended up with MINcalled NE0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Byron Murphy
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- MIN
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Darius Slayton to move to New England Patriots
“I had him going to New England. There was not much better than their offensive line room.”
Ended up with NYGcalled NE0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Darius Slayton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Carlton Davis III to move to New York Jets
“I think that Carlton Davis is going to the Jets ... I've got Carlton Davis going to the NYJ.”
Ended up with NEcalled NYJ0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Carlton Davis III
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYJ
- was with:
- DET
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
D.J. Reed to move to Jacksonville Jaguars
“I had him going to Jacksonville. They were a dumpster fire on defense last year.”
Ended up with DETcalled JAX0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- D.J. Reed
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- JAX
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- DET
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Stefon Diggs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“Stefan Diggs. Yeah, there is no better place to send him for a shit show of a room than the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Ended up with NEcalled PIT0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Stefon Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- PIT
- was with:
- HOU
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Jacoby Brissett to move to Cleveland Browns
“one guy who did extremely well under Kevin Stefanski ... was Jacobe Burssett. So I am going to bring him back”
Ended up with ARIcalled CLE0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jacoby Brissett
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- CLE
- was with:
- NE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- ARI
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Ronnie Stanley to move
“I don't think so. I think he's moving on. I think they'll get somebody else in free agency.”
Ended up with BAL0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Ronnie Stanley
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- BAL
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- BAL
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Malcolm Koonce to move to Atlanta Falcons
“I think the Malcolm Konts is that guy. So I'm sending him to the atl.”
Ended up with LVcalled ATL0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Malcolm Koonce
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- ATL
- was with:
- LV
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LV
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Chase Young to move to Detroit Lions
“The one that makes sense is Chase Young to Detroit.”
Ended up with NOcalled DET0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Chase Young
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- DET
- was with:
- NO
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NO
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Nick Bolton to move to Los Angeles Rams
“I think they need a leader on the middle of that defense ... and I think Nick Bolton is that guy ... I think it makes sense out there with the Ram.”
Ended up with KCcalled LAR0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Nick Bolton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAR
- was with:
- KC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- KC
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“I would be shocked if one of those guys, in particular Justin Fields didn't return to Pittsburgh.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Team Draft Slot Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 1
“I do believe that the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward.”
Picked at 5called 184.09Hit84.09 − 11.97 naive = 72.12 × 2 difficulty = +144.24 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- they picked 54 the year before
- skill:
- 144.24
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 11.97
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Mock Draft Picks1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward”
Went 1mocked at 1100HitThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Who this take is about
Russell Wilson, Las Vegas Raiders, Byron Murphy, New England Patriots, Darius Slayton, Carlton Davis III, New York Jets, D.J. Reed, Jacksonville Jaguars, Stefon Diggs, Pittsburgh Steelers, Jacoby Brissett, Cleveland Browns, Ronnie Stanley, Malcolm Koonce, Atlanta Falcons, Chase Young, Detroit Lions, Nick Bolton, Los Angeles Rams, Cam Ward, Justin Fields
Others on the same people
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.