Chris Rose· Mar 6, 2025
Hosting a mock free-agency draft, Rose predicted destinations for Nick Bolton, Carlton Davis, Russell Wilson, Malcolm Koonce, Stefon Diggs, Byron Murphy, Chase Young and Jacoby Brissett, plus Justin Fields returning to Pittsburgh, Ronnie Stanley leaving Baltimore, and the Browns trading up to No. 1 to take Cam Ward.
“I do believe that the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 14.2 out of 100, against 50.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Russell Wilson
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Byron Murphy
- New England Patriots
- Darius Slayton
- Carlton Davis III
- New York Jets
- D.J. Reed
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Stefon Diggs
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Jacoby Brissett
- Cleveland Browns
- Ronnie Stanley
- Malcolm Koonce
- Atlanta Falcons
- Chase Young
- Detroit Lions
- Nick Bolton
- Los Angeles Rams
- Cam Ward
- Justin Fields
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Russell Wilson to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“even if he goes out and gives a little bit of money to Russell Wilson to rejoin forces with Pete Carroll, so be it ... when he ends up in Las Vegas, I will gladly take those twenty points.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Byron Murphy to move to New England Patriots
“All I'm saying is that Byron Murphy will be a New England Patriot”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Byron Murphy
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- MIN
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Darius Slayton to move to New England Patriots
“I had him going to New England. There was not much better than their offensive line room.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Darius Slayton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Carlton Davis III to move to New York Jets
“I think that Carlton Davis is going to the Jets ... I've got Carlton Davis going to the NYJ.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Carlton Davis III
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYJ
- was with:
- DET
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
D.J. Reed to move to Jacksonville Jaguars
“I had him going to Jacksonville. They were a dumpster fire on defense last year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- D.J. Reed
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- JAX
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- DET
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Stefon Diggs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“Stefan Diggs. Yeah, there is no better place to send him for a shit show of a room than the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Stefon Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- PIT
- was with:
- HOU
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Jacoby Brissett to move to Cleveland Browns
“one guy who did extremely well under Kevin Stefanski ... was Jacobe Burssett. So I am going to bring him back”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jacoby Brissett
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- CLE
- was with:
- NE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- ARI
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Trade and Signing CallsRonnie StanleyMar 6, 2025
Ronnie Stanley to move
“I don't think so. I think he's moving on. I think they'll get somebody else in free agency.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Ronnie Stanley
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- BAL
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- BAL
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Malcolm Koonce to move to Atlanta Falcons
“I think the Malcolm Konts is that guy. So I'm sending him to the atl.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Malcolm Koonce
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- ATL
- was with:
- LV
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LV
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Chase Young to move to Detroit Lions
“The one that makes sense is Chase Young to Detroit.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Chase Young
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- DET
- was with:
- NO
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NO
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Nick Bolton to move to Los Angeles Rams
“I think they need a leader on the middle of that defense ... and I think Nick Bolton is that guy ... I think it makes sense out there with the Ram.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Nick Bolton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAR
- was with:
- KC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- KC
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Team Draft Slot CallsCleveland BrownsMar 6, 2025
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 1
“I do believe that the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 11.97+144.24 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- they picked 54 the year before
- skill:
- 144.24
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 11.97
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksCam WardCleveland BrownsMar 6, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“the Browns are going to trade up to one and take cam Ward”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“I would be shocked if one of those guys, in particular Justin Fields didn't return to Pittsburgh.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace.
- Greg AumanTrade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Auman argues no quarterback is likely to replicate Sam Darnold's turnaround this season, but names five candidates. He expects Miami to hold a very high pick in the 2027 draft, and thinks J.J. McCarthy will eventually be traded for a late-round pick or cut by the Vikings.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Bryan DeArdoTrade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Named several players as candidates to be traded before Sunday's cut deadline, including Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy, Cardinals edge Josh Sweat and Steelers cornerback Joey Porter Jr.
- Bryan DeArdoTrade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100A CBS Sports piece lists veterans it expects could be traded before the 53-man roster deadline, including quarterbacks Anthony Richardson (with Buffalo floated as a landing spot), J.J. McCarthy and Will Howard, plus Jerry Jeudy, Joey Porter Jr., Tyrone Tracy Jr., Kayvon Thibodeaux, Josh Sweat, Kristian Fulton and Marist Liufau. It also says Mason Rudolph's and Drew Allar's roster spots in Pittsburgh are secure.
- Matthew CollerTrade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Coller argues J.J. McCarthy's development is far behind schedule and that he will likely end up needing a fresh start with another team rather than developing into the Vikings' answer at quarterback.