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Simon HunterJul 16, 2025

Simon's 14 playoff teams: Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Texans, Broncos, Steelers and Raiders in the AFC; Cowboys, Eagles, Buccaneers, Packers, Lions, 49ers and Rams in the NFC. They have Houston winning the AFC South, Green Bay the NFC North, Tampa Bay the NFC South, and the Rams winning the Super Bowl.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 18calls landed8 hits · 10 misses · 1 waiting
44.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 18 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
18 of 19Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Simon Hunter said

if I'm going to make one futures bet in NFC, wouldn't be the Eagles. It would still be this Rams team to win the Super Bowl.
Simon Hunter, the lead quote
The episode
The Favorites - NFL Playoff Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 15, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Division Winners0030
Playoff Picks8060
Super Bowl Picks0010
Surprise Team Calls0001
All80101

How each call scored

19 checkable claims — 14 playoff picks, 3 division winners, 1 super bowl pick and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

18 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 44.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners3 missesShow ▸
  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “the loan division gotta go to the South right with the Bucks”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Green Bay Packers to win the division

    “because I have green Bay in the winning the division, you know, if I'm betting wise”

    Green Bay Packers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Houston Texans to win the division

    “if I'm going to go with a side, I got to go with Houston making of that division”

    Houston Texans

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks8 hits · 6 missesShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs

    “So I went Dallas Eagles out of the East.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs

    “they feel like the perfect under the radar team that sneaks in there in that final seventh spot”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LV
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    “Simon has the opposite Denver and Pittsburgh in Chargers out.”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Denver Broncos to make the playoffs

    “Simon has the opposite Denver and Pittsburgh in Chargers out.”

    Denver Broncos

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Houston Texans to make the playoffs

    “Simon, you and I both have the Texans back in the playoffs.”

    Houston Texans

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “Believe I Bucks, South, Green Bay, Detroit for the North”

    Green Bay Packers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    “Believe I Bucks, South, Green Bay, Detroit for the North”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    “So I went Dallas Eagles out of the East.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    “Simon and I agree that Detroit is in”

    Detroit Lions

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs

    “who do I have West? I believe I have the forty nine ers and just the Rams.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    “who do I have West? I believe I have the forty nine ers and just the Rams.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    “All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.”

    Buffalo Bills

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    “It would still be this Rams team to win the Super Bowl. I just think they have the best value.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    SEA won itpicked LAR
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations

    “It's Pete Carroll on the Raiders with Gino Smith. It's not sexy... they feel like the perfect under the radar team that sneaks in there”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.