Ryan Tracy· Mar 21, 2026
Tracy ranks Caleb McDonald as the top defensive tackle in the draft class, says Grayson Halton is the best pass rusher in the class by production, and projects a series of DT prospects to specific draft ranges — Halton around pick 74, Rayshawn Benny late Day 3/round 3-4, Kenneth Proctor Day 3, Zane Durant in the fifth round, and Skyler Gil Howard falling to the late rounds of Day 3. He also doubts Christian Miller lasts to pick 40 and expects the Chiefs to end up with fewer than their current nine picks.
“I think Caleb McDonald is the best defensive tackle in this class.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 58 out of 100, against 39.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksZane DurantMar 21, 2026
Zane Durant to be picked “a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot” (picks 101–216)
“He also will be, I think, a a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Zane Durant
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 181
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot (picks 101–216)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksGracen HaltonMar 21, 2026
Gracen Halton to be picked at number 74
“Halton would be around the 74 ranges, my guess. Could fall to one zero nine, but not certain of that.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.94a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Gracen Halton
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 23.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 107
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 23.94
- predicted pick:
- 74
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsKayden McDonaldMar 21, 2026
Kayden McDonald to be 1st defensive tackle off the board
“I think Caleb McDonald is the best defensive tackle in this class.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 19.25+30.75 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 24 at random averages 19.25
- skill:
- 30.75
- player:
- Kayden McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 19.25
- position:
- defensive tackle
- class size:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 3
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksKaleb ProctorMar 21, 2026
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “a day three guy”
“I do think he's gonna be a day three guy that they should have their eyes on as well.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksSkyler Gill-HowardMar 21, 2026
Skyler Gill-Howard to be picked “squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three”
“now it looks like he is squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three, and I think that's a great value pickup”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksRayshaun BennyMar 21, 2026
Rayshaun Benny to be picked “end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three”
“One guy that stands out to me that is likely to be an end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three, is Rayshawn Benny from Michigan.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Brian PeacockRoster Spot Calls · Gracen HaltonHit · 100Peacock lays out his projected 53-man roster for the 49ers, position by position: three specialists, three quarterbacks (including Curtis Rourke), five running backs, six receivers (cutting Christian Kirk), three tight ends (cutting Braden Willis), nine offensive linemen, ten defensive linemen (with Mykel Williams on PUP), five linebackers, six cornerbacks and four safeties. He also predicts a new player will take center snaps in preseason week three.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Kayden McDonaldClose · 48He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Gracen HaltonClose · 74Jeremiah runs through his favorite Day 2 targets position by position, projecting specific rounds for corners, safeties, defensive tackles, edge rushers, linebackers, receivers, tight ends, running backs and offensive linemen.
- Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks · Kaleb ProctorMiss · 0A seven-round Miami Dolphins mock draft for 2026, projecting Kenyon Sadiq at No. 11 and Keldric Faulk at No. 30, with Emmanuel Pregnon becoming an instant starter and Ted Hurst developing into a No. 2 receiver.
- Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks · Kaleb ProctorHit · 84In his final Packers mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, Bukowski predicts Green Bay trades down from 52 to 58 and takes receiver Ted Hurst, then cornerback Dalen Everett at 84, trades up to 104 for cornerback Julianne Neill and to 115 for defensive tackle Caleb Proctor, with Jordan Vandenberg at 236 plus late picks on Jagger Burton, Kalyn Black and quarterback Baron Morton. He also names several players he considers locks for the first round.
- Brian BosargeMock Draft Picks · Rayshaun BennyMiss · 0Bosarge's seven-round mock gives Buffalo Indiana WR Omar Cooper at 26, TCU linebacker Caleb Elarms Orr at 91, Michigan defensive lineman Rayshawn Benny at 126, Michal Camara at 165, safety Lewis Moore at 168, and Stanford cornerback Colin Wright at 220.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.