Scott BogmanFeb 8, 2026

They gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 12picks landed6 hits · 3 close calls · 3 misses · all settled

92.12The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50

+42.12Skillthe mock as a whole

68Per pickaverage, out of 100

0Went undraftedeach a miss

What Scott Bogman said

David Bailey led the league or led the country... and he is going to be in the top ten for sure, no doubt.

Scott Bogman, the lead quote

Where it was said: FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode: FantasyPros - Real First Round NFL Mock Draft (Ep. 1944)
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidFeb 8
GradedOct 1

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses
Round 1	4	3	3
Picks 0–0	2	0	0
All	6	3	3

How the mock scored

12 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 12 have settled, averaging 68 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed.

The mock as a whole

92.12this mock’s order50a shuffled mock42.12better than naive1difficulty+42.12skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting

Round 1 · picks 1–324 hits · 3 close calls · 3 missesShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
4	TEN	David Bailey	edge	2	92
7	WAS	Sonny Styles	linebacker	7	100
10	CIN	Caleb Downs	safety	11	96
13	LAR	Carnell Tate	wide receiver	4	68
16	NYJ	Denzel Boston	wide receiver	39	37
19	CAR	Kayden McDonald	interior defensive lineman	36	48
22	LAC	Olaivavega Ioane	interior offensive lineman	14	71
25	CHI	Peter Woods	interior defensive lineman	29	84
28	HOU	Emmanuel Pregnon	interior offensive lineman	88	7
31	DEN	Romello Height	edge	70	18

Picks 0–02 hitsShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Verdict	Score
0	—	Caleb Downs	safety	11		96
0	—	David Bailey	edge	2		100

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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