Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 17, 2025
Rosenthal picked the Lions to blow out the Commanders roughly 38-24, backed the Eagles to beat the Rams, and stuck with their preseason pick of the Bills to win the Super Bowl while also taking Buffalo to beat Baltimore at home.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI just think the Lions are too strong, too good offensively not to put up thirty five points in this game.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Divisional Round Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 17, 2025
- GradedAug 7–17, 2026
- 1Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens“I have the Bills winning”
- 2Detroit Lions 38 — Commanders 24“they score between thirty five and forty. Jayden has a fine game, and it's somewhere like thirty eight to twenty four.”
- 3Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl“I picked the Bills to win the Super Bowl before the season... I feel good about sticking with my preseason pick, and I do pick the Bills.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Detroit Lions 38 — Commanders 242 | Score Predictions | — | 50 | 22.09 | +27.91 | |
| Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl3 | Super Bowl Picks | PHI won it | 0 | 50 | −50 | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 50 | 57.4 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 57.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 19): Ravens by 1.5 · a toss-up, Ravens 52%, Bills 48%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 25-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Score PredictionsDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions 38 — Commanders 24
VerdictClose50Close · naive 22.0950this call−22.09a naive guess=27.91better than naive×1difficulty=+27.91skillClosing line (Jan 18): Lions by 8.5, total 55.5 · this 38–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 14) and more points (62).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 45-31
- skill:
- 27.91
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 22.09
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 14
3Super Bowl PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI won itpicked BUF0Miss · naive 500this call−50a naive guess=−50worse than naive×1difficulty=−50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −50
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 57.4
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.