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Jared Dubin· Oct 1, 2026

Dubin picked the Steelers to win 20-14 in Cleveland on Thursday night and the Texans to beat the Cowboys 24-21 in Week 4.

“Jared Dubin's pick: Steelers 20-14 over Browns”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Browns 14

    “Jared Dubin's pick: Steelers 20-14 over Browns”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 95.04-95.5 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    -95.5
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    95.04
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.92
    predicted margin:
    6

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  • Houston Texans 24 — Cowboys 21

    “Jared Dubin — Texans (-2.5) 24-21 over Cowboys.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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