Tom StrachanAug 23, 2025
Strachan's favorite pick per round: Ja'Marr Chase at 1.01, Brock Bowers in round two, Jayden Daniels in round three, Davante Adams (double-digit TDs) in round four, then Xavier Worthy, Calvin Ridley, Jaylen Warren, Emeka Egbuka, Justin Fields, Zach Charbonnet and late-round fliers; their one player to leave every draft with is Tucker Kraft.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Tom Strachan said
I wouldn't be surprised at all if he hit double digit touchdowns this year.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - Must-Have Fantasy Football Draft Targets | Expert Picks For EVERY ROUND! (Ep. 1663)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidAug 22, 2025
- GradedAug 7–19, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper Calls | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| Player Season Numbers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
How each call scored
15 checkable claims — 14 sleeper calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 15 have settled, averaging 49.5 out of 100, against 46.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Sleeper Calls7 hits · 7 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Zach Charbonnet to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty five)
“It's Zach Charboney... Charbone at cost RB thirty five... he is a really good player”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- RB thirty five
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Zach Charbonnet
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB20
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- rounds eleven through fifteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tyler Allgeier
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB38
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB35
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- rounds eleven through fifteen
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Colston Loveland
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE9
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Cam Ward to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- rounds eleven through fifteen
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- had to beat:
- QB12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB22
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Justin Fields to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
“if you're looking for a massive upside swing at quarterback, Justin Fields, it's hard to go past him”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round nine
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Justin Fields
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- had to beat:
- QB31
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB28
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (round five)
“Xavier Worvy. I just think that it's all setting up to be another good season for Xavier Worvy... I'd be comfortable pushing him even a couple of picks higher”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round five
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Xavier Worthy
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR32
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR59
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- rounds eleven through fifteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Wan'Dale Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR53
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR22
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Austin Ekeler to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- rounds eleven through fifteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Austin Ekeler
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB103
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Jayden Daniels to outplay his draft cost (round three)
“But I went with Jane Daniel. And it's more because I think that there's still some meat left on the bone there.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round three
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Jayden Daniels
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- had to beat:
- QB5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB34
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (round two)
“Round two is so stacked this year... but brock Bauers... I thought brock Powers was going to be firmly part of round one”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round two
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Brock Bowers
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE2
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (outside of the top twelve tight ends)
“Took a Craft like just such a good player, and I can't understand why he's going outside of the top twelve tight ends.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- outside of the top twelve tight ends
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Tucker Kraft
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (round six)
“Kevin Ridley's been my go all off season. I think he's just been undervalued compared away should be.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Calvin Ridley
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR112
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Jaylen Warren to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine in real time ADP)
“My guy is Jalen Warren. I'll be twenty nine in real time ADP... it's very easy to buy into what Jalen Warren brings.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- RB twenty nine in real time ADP
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jaylen Warren
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB40
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Davante Adams to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver eighteen overall)
“It's Stevane Adams wide receiver eighteen overall, and I would have taken him in in round three.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver eighteen overall
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Davante Adams
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Player Season Numbers1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Davante Adams to record 10 receiving tds
“And I wouldn't be surprised at all if he hit double digit touchdowns this year.”
14called 1042.86Close42.86 − 0 naive = 42.86 × 2 difficulty = +85.71 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 5.7
- skill:
- 85.71
- what happened:
- 14
- player:
- Davante Adams
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 10
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 8
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Who this take is about
Zach Charbonnet, Seattle Seahawks, Tyler Allgeier, Colston Loveland, Cam Ward, Justin Fields, New York Jets, Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs, Wan'Dale Robinson, Austin Ekeler, Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders, Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders, Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers, Calvin Ridley, Tennessee Titans, Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers, Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · Tyreek Hill · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · RJ Harvey · Hit 100
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.