Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 27, 2025
Freeland picked the Rams to beat Carolina easily, took the Seahawks laying 10.5 at home against Minnesota because Seattle is far better, and said their model has the Colts winning by roughly 2.6 points over Houston (so the Texans cover but do not win).
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Cynthia Frelund said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIt's ten and a half points... I think they win. I think they win going away.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 13 Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidNov 27, 2025
- GradedAug 17, 2026
- 1Indianapolis Colts to beat Houston“Do I think they win straight up? Probably not... My model does have four and a half points. I have a three point win for Indianapolis.”
- 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina“Versus car It's at Carolina. It's ten and a half points... I think they win. I think they win going away. This is the best team in football right now”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts to beat Houston1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −133 | |
| 2 calls · 2 misses · all settled | 0 | 50 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts to beat Houston
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.33difficulty=0skillClosing line (Nov 30): Colts by 3 · favorite pick, Colts 60%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 6
2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.33difficulty=−133skillClosing line (Nov 30): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (82%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 28-31
- skill:
- −133
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 6
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
0naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Los Angeles Rams · Hit 93
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Los Angeles Rams · Hit 100
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.