Rich Eisen· Feb 12, 2025
Rich Eisen laid out his "way, way too early" top-10 NFL power rankings for the 2025 season, with the Eagles first, Ravens second and Commanders third, and separately said the Chiefs would still finish as a top-two seed in the AFC.
“I still think that when it's all said and done, they're gonna be a top four, top five team, top two seed in the AFC next year.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 power ranking and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 33.8 out of 100, against 35.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldKansas City ChiefsFeb 12, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to take the top seed
“I still think that when it's all said and done, they're gonna be a top four, top five team, top two seed in the AFC next year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
- actual tier:
- bye
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (host)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 2
- claimed tier:
- host
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Power RankingsLos Angeles ChargersFeb 12, 2025
“Number 10 on the list, the LA chargers... I'm putting the Denver Broncos at nine... I'm putting the Vikings at eight... the Los Angeles Rams... They're seventh on this list... I'm putting the Bills here [six]... Lions fans at five... I'm putting the Chiefs at four... Number three on this list, I'm putting the Washington commanders... Number two on the list is the top team in the AFC. I'm putting the Ravens here... And then number one is... the Philadelphia Eagles”
Close · 68Scored 67.5a naive guess scored 71.67-4.17 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -4.17
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 67.5
- baseline:
- 71.67
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
- David DroegemeierTrade and Signing Calls · Mekhi BectonHit · 100Drogemeier says the Chargers cutting Mekhi Becton is a foregone conclusion, freeing nearly $9 million in cap space, and only a matter of when.
More seeding, byes and home field
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick WrightSeeding, Byes and Home Field · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Wright argues Matt Stafford deserves MVP but predicts Drake Maye will win the award; he also picks Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year and Christian McCaffrey for Offensive Player of the Year over JSN. He makes several Week 18 game calls and thinks Seattle beats San Francisco to take the NFC's one seed, while the Raiders' loss scenario yields the No. 1 overall pick.
- Kevin WildesSeeding, Byes and Home Field · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wildes' upset alert is the Chargers beating the Broncos straight up, which he says would hand the No. 1 seed to New England.
- JP AcostaSeeding, Byes and Home Field · New England PatriotsHit · 100JP picked Carolina, Seattle, Baltimore, Denver, Jacksonville, New England, Detroit, the Rams and Kansas City in Week 18, and said the Patriots will likely end up with the AFC's No. 2 seed.
- Nick WrightSeeding, Byes and Home Field · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Nick Wright made five Week 18 picks against the spread: Tampa Bay over Carolina, Seattle over San Francisco (and to take the No. 1 seed), Las Vegas to cover against Kansas City, Miami to cover 12 at New England, and Pittsburgh to cover at home against Baltimore. He also predicted Seattle wins the No. 1 seed and Mike Evans scores a touchdown.
- Nick WrightSeeding, Byes and Home Field · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nick Wright says Drake Maye proved he's an elite quarterback and will be a top-five QB going forward, and he made five weekend picks: Dallas blowing out Washington, Jacksonville over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland, Buffalo over Philadelphia, and Chicago winning outright at San Francisco. He also expects Josh Johnson to start at QB for Washington and Philadelphia to land the No. 3 seed.
- Nick WrightSeeding, Byes and Home Field · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100On the Christmas-week gambling show, Nick Wright made five picks and, in doing so, predicted outright wins for Dallas (a blowout of Washington), Jacksonville over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland, Buffalo over Philadelphia and Chicago over San Francisco, plus a Rams win at Atlanta and a Tampa Bay win at Miami. He also said Philadelphia will end up as the No. 3 seed.