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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 15, 2025

Brockman called the Broncos-Packers game the best of the day, said Denver looks poised to lock up the AFC's No. 1 seed and reach the AFC Championship Game, predicted the Bears win the NFC North and the Eagles win their division (though they think they lose to a five seed from the NFC West), and said Philip Rivers will be in the NFL in 2026.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are gonna win the NFC North.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Week 15: Chiefs' Dynasty Done? Micah Injury Impact, Rivers' Return
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidDec 15, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026
  1. 1Chicago Bears to win the division“It's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are gonna win the NFC North.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to win the division“They're gonna win the division probably, but they'll lose to the five seed who will be in NFC West.”
  3. 3Denver Broncos to take the top seed“It looks like they're gonna lock up the one seed if they kinda handle business the rest of the season.”
  4. 4Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”“And I think he's gonna be in the NFL in 2026.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to win the division1Division Winners—1000+122
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division2Division Winners—1001000
Denver Broncos to take the top seed3Seeding, Byes and Home Field—1000+122
Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”4Trade and Signing Calls————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting10033.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 division winners, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.22difficulty+122skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    122
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Division WinnersPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.22difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Seeding, Byes and Home FieldDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to take the top seed

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.22difficulty+122skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    122
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    bye
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (visitor)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsPhilip Rivers

    Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 33.3

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.