Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 15, 2025
Brockman called the Broncos-Packers game the best of the day, said Denver looks poised to lock up the AFC's No. 1 seed and reach the AFC Championship Game, predicted the Bears win the NFC North and the Eagles win their division (though they think they lose to a five seed from the NFC West), and said Philip Rivers will be in the NFL in 2026.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIt's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are gonna win the NFC North.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 15: Chiefs' Dynasty Done? Micah Injury Impact, Rivers' Return
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidDec 15, 2025
- GradedAug 17, 2026
- 1Chicago Bears to win the division“It's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are gonna win the NFC North.”
- 2Philadelphia Eagles to win the division“They're gonna win the division probably, but they'll lose to the five seed who will be in NFC West.”
- 3Denver Broncos to take the top seed“It looks like they're gonna lock up the one seed if they kinda handle business the rest of the season.”
- 4Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”“And I think he's gonna be in the NFL in 2026.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +122 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Denver Broncos to take the top seed3 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | 100 | 0 | +122 | |
| Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting | 100 | 33.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 division winners, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.22difficulty=+122skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 122
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- won the division:
- yes
2Division WinnersPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.22difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- won the division:
- yes
3Seeding, Byes and Home FieldDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to take the top seed
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.22difficulty=+122skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 122
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- bye
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (visitor)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 4
4Trade and Signing CallsPhilip Rivers
Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.