Jordan Dajani· Oct 9, 2026

Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York.

“It's wild to say, but the Browns are the better team right now.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 73 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Buffalo BillsOct 9, 2026
Buffalo Bills 30 — Rams 27
“Bills (+3) 30-27 over Rams”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 43.52+100.53 skill
How this was scored
score:
37-34
skill:
100.53
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
43.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.28
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 30–27 calls a Bills win (by 3; the line gave the Bills 38%) and more points (57). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
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Score Predictions Denver BroncosOct 9, 2026
Denver Broncos 27 — Chargers 20
“Broncos (-3.5) 27-20 over Chargers”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 36.48+108.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-17
skill:
108.83
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
36.48
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 7) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
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Score Predictions Detroit LionsOct 9, 2026
Detroit Lions 30 — Cardinals 28
“Lions 30-28 over Cardinals (+5.5)”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+89 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-21
skill:
89
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 30–28 calls a closer game (Lions by 2) and more points (58). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
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Score Predictions San Francisco 49ersOct 9, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 24 — Seahawks 23
“49ers (+2.5) 24-23 over Seahawks”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 43.62+91.88 skill
How this was scored
score:
32-29
skill:
91.88
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
43.62
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–23 calls a 49ers win (by 1; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Atlanta FalconsOct 9, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 27 — Ravens 21
“Falcons (-3) 27-21 over Ravens”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 34.1+24.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-23
skill:
24.07
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
34.1
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 6) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Pittsburgh SteelersOct 9, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Colts 17
“Projected score: Steelers 24-17”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 73.52+25.94 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-34
skill:
25.94
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
73.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 7) and fewer points (41).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cincinnati BengalsOct 9, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Dolphins 16
“Projected score: Bengals 24-16”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 35.42+110.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-24
skill:
110.71
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 8) and fewer points (40).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Houston TexansOct 9, 2026
Houston Texans 21 — Titans 16
“Texans 21-16 over Titans (+7.5)”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 0+101.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-3
skill:
101.71
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
5
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 21–16 calls a closer game (Texans by 5) and fewer points (37). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cleveland BrownsOct 9, 2026
Cleveland Browns 17 — Jets 13
“Projected score: Browns 17-13”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 90.19-75.77 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-17
skill:
−75.77
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
90.19
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 17–13 calls a Browns win (by 4; the line gave the Browns 44%) and fewer points (30).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New England PatriotsOct 9, 2026
New England Patriots 24 — Raiders 21
“Patriots (-3.5) 24-21 over Raiders”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-45
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
28
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (45). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Washington CommandersOct 9, 2026
Washington Commanders 20 — Giants 17
“Projected score: Commanders 20-17”
Close · 68Scored 67.86a naive guess scored 72.91-8.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-27
skill:
−8.99
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
67.86
baseline:
72.91
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
0
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Commanders by 3) and fewer points (37).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Green Bay PackersOct 9, 2026
Green Bay Packers 21 — Bears 20
“Packers (+2.5) 21-20 over Bears”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-31
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 21–20 calls a Packers win (by 1; the line gave the Packers 47%) and fewer points (41). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Minnesota VikingsOct 9, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 20 — Saints 14
“Vikings (-2.5) 20-14 over Saints”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 28.28+110.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-13
skill:
110.71
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
28.28
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 6) and fewer points (34). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Jacksonville JaguarsOct 9, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Eagles 18
“Projected score: Jaguars 27-18”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 96.54-23.5 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−23.5
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
96.54
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.55
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 27–18 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 9) and more points (45).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Dallas CowboysOct 9, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 30 — Buccaneers 20
“Cowboys (-9.5) 30-20 over Buccaneers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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What others said about the same people

Jack MarkowskiRoster Spot Calls · Brandon SmithMiss · 0
Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need.
Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0
Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace.
Brian PeacockTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0
Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects.
John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100
Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 95
Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 90
Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense.
Ty SchmitScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two.
Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night.
Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 45
Prisco picked the Rams to edge the Bills 34-33 on Monday night.
John BreechScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 40
Breech picked the Rams to beat the Bills 38-31 on Monday night, and after San Francisco's road win in Seattle suggested the NFC West would run through the 49ers.
Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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