Skip to main content

Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 5, 2025

Eisen says Jaxon Smith-Njigba is threatening a 2,000-yard receiving season, and defends ranking the Chiefs as a top-third (No. 10) team in their power rankings, with Denver at three and Bills at six.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

79Close · out of 100
1,793What happenedcalled 2,000
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
79.3This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

your guy, JSN, he's threatening a 2,000 yard receiving season.
Our reading: Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards
The episode
Hour 3: CFP Rankings Reactions, Bill O’Brien’s Rant, plus the MMQB’s Albert Breer
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidNov 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 79.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

receiving yards
2,000They said
1,793What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Player Season NumbersJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards

    What happened1,793called 2,000
    79.3Close · naive 0
    79.3this call0a naive guess79.3better than naive1.5difficulty+118.95skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    739.87
    skill:
    118.95
    what happened:
    1793
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    79.3
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    2000
    statistic:
    receiving_yards
    difficulty:
    1.5
    last season:
    1130
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    position average:
    349.73
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.