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Rich Eisen· Nov 5, 2025

Eisen says Jaxon Smith-Njigba is threatening a 2,000-yard receiving season, and defends ranking the Chiefs as a top-third (No. 10) team in his power rankings, with Denver at three and Bills at six.

“your guy, JSN, he's threatening a 2,000 yard receiving season.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 79.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

receiving yards
2,000They said
1,793What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards

    “your guy, JSN, he's threatening a 2,000 yard receiving season. That's how amazing he has been.”

    Close · 79Scored 79.3a naive guess scored 0+118.95 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    739.87
    skill:
    118.95
    what happened:
    1793
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    79.3
    baseline:
    0
    predicted:
    2000
    statistic:
    receiving_yards
    difficulty:
    1.5
    last season:
    1130
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    position average:
    349.73
    zero at percent out:
    50

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