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Bill Huber· Oct 29, 2026

Huber picks the Packers to beat the Panthers on Thursday night by a score of 27-17, moving Green Bay to 5-3, and expects Jordan Love to have a strong game against Carolina's depleted secondary.

“Bill’s Prediction: Packers 27, Panthers 17.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 97.6 out of 100, against 90 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Green Bay Packers 27 — Panthers 17

    “Bill’s Prediction: Packers 27, Panthers 17.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 79.94+24.63 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    24.63
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Packers win (by 10) and fewer points (44).

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  • Green Bay Packers to beat Panthers

    “So, the Packers will score a key win. A 5-3 start with Micah Parsons still not back on the practice field would be a major victory”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 63%.

    Think this is wrong?

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