Jake Ciely#20 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 11, 2025
Seeley mocks anyone going back to Kyle Pitts, treating them as a tight end who will burn drafters again, while touting Trey Benson as a discounted value who remains the clear backup to James Connor. They also call out late-round picks like Justice Hill, Rashad Bateman and Romeo Doubs as upside-less bench wastes.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Jake Ciely said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromGoing back to Kyle Pitts is like trying to look at taco bell at two am when you're thirty years old.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - Top 12 Draft Tips to DOMINATE Your 2025 Fantasy Football League (Ep. 1612)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJul 10, 2025
- GradedAug 7–19, 2026
- 1Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)“another one that went in the arrange... Is Romeo Dobbs. Like, I'm sorry, Romeo Dobbs, but like eight point five, eight point two of the last two years”
- 2Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)“they were drafted in these last three rounds. Justice Hill Overshad Bateman. Where is the upside?... he is going to be part of some time share”
- 3Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)“Rashad Bateman? What is Rashad Bateman? Ever? Like you hope you get a touchdown”
- 4Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (at a discount)“And now he's coming at a discount on top of it... You should be in on him this year”
- 5Trey Benson to be 2nd on the depth chart“just ignore the fact that he's still the clear number two behind James Connor, who has an injury history”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)1 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)2 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)3 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (at a discount)4 | Sleeper Calls | — | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Trey Benson to be 2nd on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 4 | 83.33 | 83.33 | 0 | |
| 5 calls · 3 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 56.7 | 56.7 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 3 fantasy bust calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 56.7 out of 100, against 56.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Fantasy Bust CallsRomeo Doubs
Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- these last three rounds
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Romeo Doubs
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR57
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR34
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
2Fantasy Bust CallsJustice HillBaltimore Ravens
Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- these last three rounds
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Justice Hill
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB42
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB66
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
3Fantasy Bust CallsRashod BatemanBaltimore Ravens
Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- these last three rounds
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Rashod Bateman
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR30
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR102
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
4Sleeper CallsTrey BensonArizona Cardinals
Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (at a discount)
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- at a discount
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Trey Benson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB66
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB79
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
5Depth Chart CallsTrey BensonArizona Cardinals
Trey Benson to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 4called No. 2 · by rushing yards83.33Hit · naive 83.3383.33this call−83.33a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- ARI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Trey Benson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
56.7naive 56.7
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nathan Jahnke · Trade and Signing Calls · Jacoby Brissett · Hit 100
In a Week 9 recap, Jahnke expects Mark Andrews to remain Baltimore's lead tight end but says rookie Matt Hibner is more likely than Josh Cuevas to eventually overtake them, and they anticipate the Ravens acquiring Jacoby Brissett to start at quarterback. They also suggest Brian Thomas Jr. may have played their final game for Jacksonville ahead of the trade deadline.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.Mike Florio · Roster Spot Calls · Jake Moody · Miss 0
Florio expects Jake Moody to be promoted from Baltimore's practice squad to the 53-man roster if Tyler Loop lands on injured reserve.John Breech · Trade and Signing Calls · Jacoby Brissett · Hit 100
Breech picks the Jaguars to blow out the quarterback-depleted Ravens on Thursday night, and in Week 9 takes the Bengals to outlast the Falcons in a Madrid shootout. They also expect Jacoby Brissett to be a Raven within 48 hours and to make their first Baltimore start in Week 11.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Xavier Worthy · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Fantasy Bust Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Bust Calls · Breece Hall · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Simon Hunter · Fantasy Bust Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Hit 100
Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking them in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.