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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 23, 2025

Rosenthal's official picks against the spread: Packers -3 at Pittsburgh (predicting a blowout, roughly 36-18), Falcons -7.5 over Miami, and Bills +7 in Carolina (they believe Buffalo wins outright and scores 35). They also said they liked the Browns +7, the Vikings getting points, and would take the Patriots if picking that game.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
90.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
15.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think they're gonna blow him out. I have it like thirty six to eighteen
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 8 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 23, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Green Bay Packers 36 — Steelers 18“I think they're gonna blow him out. I have it like thirty six to eighteen”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to beat Panthers“Can Andy Dalton keep up in a shootout? I don't think so. Bill's plus seven.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Green Bay Packers 36 — Steelers 181Score Predictions—80.9531.02+80.39
Buffalo Bills to beat Panthers2Game Outcome Picks—1000+161
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled90.515.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 90.5 out of 100, against 15.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers 36 — Steelers 18

    VerdictHit
    80.95Hit · naive 31.02
    80.95this call31.02a naive guess49.93better than naive1.61difficulty+80.39skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Packers by 3, total 46.5 · this 36–18 calls a bigger Packers win (by 18) and more points (54).

    How this was scored
    score:
    35-25
    skill:
    80.39
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    31.02
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Panthers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.61difficulty+161skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (77%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    40-9
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    90.5naive 15.5

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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