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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 23, 2026

Dajani picks the 49ers to beat the Falcons straight up in Week 7, though they admit they are tempted by Atlanta as an upset play.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Falcons 29–20What happened49ers at Falcons
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

I'm thinking about backing the Falcons in this spot.
Our reading: San Francisco 49ers to beat Falcons
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Caleb Williams wins duel of 2024 NFL Draft QBs; Brewers-Rays World Series opens with a twist
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 23
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Falcons

    What happenedFalcons 29–2049ers at Falcons
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    −167
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?

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