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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 29, 2025

Eisen delivered their weekly top-10 NFL power rankings entering Week 9, with the Lions first, and separately said the Rams would beat the Patriots on a neutral basis and that the Lions will win the NFC.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
33.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
16.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Lions lead my power rankings entering week number nine.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2: NFL Power Rankings, plus ESPN Boog Sciambi Talks World Series
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 29, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Patriots“Because I think if the Patriots played the Rams, I think the Rams win the game.”
  2. 2Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl“I still still think they are going to win the NFC.”
  3. 3Power Rankings“Number 10 on the list are the Bucks down one spot... the Bills... they're now at nine... I'm keeping the patriots at eight... number seven is? The Rams... Eagles... Down to six... cracking my top five... are the Denver Broncos... I kept the Chiefs right where they are at four. I kept the Packers right where they are at three. I kept the Colts right where they are at two... The Lions lead my power rankings entering week number nine.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Patriots1Game Outcome Picks—66.6722.92+68.25
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
“Number 10 on the list are the Bucks down one spot... the…”3Power Rankings—33.9425.45+13.24
3 calls · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled33.516.1

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 game outcome pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.5 out of 100, against 16.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Patriots

    VerdictClose
    66.67Close · naive 22.92
    66.67this call22.92a naive guess43.75better than naive1.56difficulty+68.25skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    68.25
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    10
    picked won aplayoff game:
    yes
    picked reached the playoffs:
    yes
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked DET
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.56difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Power Rankings

    “Number 10 on the list are the Bucks down one spot... the Bills... they're now at nine... I'm keeping the patriots at eight... number seven is? The Rams... Eagles... Down to six... cracking my top five... are the Denver Broncos... I kept the Chiefs right where they are at four. I kept the Packers right where they are at three. I kept the Colts right where they are at two... The Lions lead my power rankings entering week number nine.”

    VerdictMiss
    33.94Miss · naive 25.45
    33.94this call25.45a naive guess8.49better than naive1.56difficulty+13.24skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    13.24
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    33.94
    baseline:
    25.45
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    33.5naive 16.1

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.