Ollie ConnollyApr 14, 2025
Connolly agrees Shedeur Sanders likely lands in New Orleans, says Cam Ward goes first overall, projects Travis Hunter's floor as a top-three NFL cornerback, is out on Mason Graham as a top-10 pick, thinks Donovan Ezeiruaku slips to the second round, doesn't want James Pearce, and expects Malaki Starks to be taken around 25.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Ollie Connolly said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromthe floor to me feels like the second or third best cornerback in the NFL
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Travis Hunter's ceiling, Mason Graham's bust potential and Derek Carr Drama with Ollie Connolly
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidApr 14, 2025
- GradedAug 7–14, 2026
- 1Travis Hunter to finish top 3 at his position, by interceptions“the floor to me feels like the second or third best cornerback in the NFL De bending our system and circumstance and the ceiling is changes the position for generation”
- 2Donovan Jeter to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)“I think he's going to get ding to go in the second round, maybe because he just doesn't quite have the measurables teams are looking for.”
- 3Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“It's almost now because cam Ward is going to go first overall”
- 4James Pearce Jr. to disappoint at the next level“He is the one that I would not want in my building... I like passwords who know what they're doing when they rush the passer, and not just kind of upfield athletes who tests really well but don't quite know how to play football”
- 5Mason Graham to disappoint at the next level“I just what I'm taking with a top ten pick. I think there's better value further down the board than he is. I have a high second round grade on him.”
- 6Shedeur Sanders to move to New Orleans Saints“I'm with you that is probably going to happen because Mickey Lewis is trying to save his job”
- 7Malaki Starks to be picked “somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher”“He is a splash playmaker and So i'm sure a team will take him somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hunter to finish top 3 at his position, by interceptions1 | Positional Finishes | Finished #160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Donovan Jeter to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went undrafted | 0 | 50 | — | |
| Cam Ward to be picked at number 13 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| James Pearce Jr. to disappoint at the next level4 | Draft Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Mason Graham to disappoint at the next level5 | Draft Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Shedeur Sanders to move to New Orleans Saints6 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Malaki Starks to be picked “somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher”7 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 4 waiting | 33.3 | 33.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 2 draft bust calls, 1 positional finish and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
1Positional FinishesTravis Hunter
Travis Hunter to finish top 3 at his position, by interceptions
What happenedFinished #160called #3 · by interceptions0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- secondary
- ranked by:
- interceptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at secondary
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 160
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
2Mock Draft PicksDonovan Jeter
Donovan Jeter to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)
What happenedWent undrafted0Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Donovan Jeter
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with WAS
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- the second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
4Draft Bust CallsJames Pearce Jr.Tennessee Titans
James Pearce Jr. to disappoint at the next level
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Mason Graham to disappoint at the next level
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Trade and Signing CallsShedeur SandersNew Orleans Saints
Shedeur Sanders to move to New Orleans Saints
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Mock Draft PicksMalaki Starks
Malaki Starks to be picked “somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
33.3naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
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Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.