Donte Johnson· Nov 6, 2026
The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams.
“I believe it's going to be difficult, so I'm picking Tampa Bay for the upset.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Buccaneers at Bears 23 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 6, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Chicago Bears
“"I think this Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense and [head coach] Todd Bowles will serve Caleb Williams and this Chicago Bears offense a little slice of humble pie" ... "so I'm picking Tampa Bay for the upset." (Week 9)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- −156
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%.
What others said about the same people
- Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
- Zac CorneliusScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 29Zach projected the Buccaneers to beat the Bears 24-12.
- Chris LongScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersClose · 71Previewing Week 8, Chris Long leaned Pittsburgh over Cleveland, picked Tampa Bay to beat Atlanta 23-19, had Carolina beating Green Bay 24-20 on Thursday night, and said the Denver-Kansas City matchup tilts toward the Broncos. He also expected Jeffery Simmons to make his Bears debut Monday night and floated that this is Montez Sweat's last season in Chicago.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersHit · 100After the Packers' Thursday night win over Carolina, Middlekauff set Green Bay's season range at nine to about eleven wins, said Jordan Love will throw double-digit interceptions this year, and picked Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, Detroit and Jacksonville to win their Week 8 games. He also predicted the Titans win only three games, that Jeffrey Simmons is a lock for another All-Pro if healthy, that the Bears will draft in the 20s, that Cleveland will never give Deshaun Watson another dollar, and he named Brian Flores his Coach of the Year.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersHit · 100Tice picked the Seahawks over the Bears on Monday night, the Lions over the Vikings, the Steelers over the Browns, the Ravens over the Bills, the Buccaneers over the Falcons and the Chiefs over the Broncos. He also has the Bears as his top team in the NFC North, says the Vikings can still win the division, calls the Patriots for 40-plus points against Miami, and caps the Vikings' offensive ceiling at 22nd in the league.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.