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Ian RapoportApr 24, 2025

Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. They also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
85.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
31.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Ian Rapoport said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think I would be surprised if he's not receiver one.
Ian Rapoport, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Ian Rapoport: It's Possible The Cleveland Browns Trade The Number 2 Pick
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–Oct 1, 2026
  1. 1Tetairoa McMillan to be 1st wide receiver off the board“I think I would be surprised if he's not receiver one.”
  2. 2Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2“I think, but don't know, that Travis Hunter is probably the best guest to go there... right now, it's the Browns, and I would say likely, probably Browns.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tetairoa McMillan to be 1st wide receiver off the board1Position Order Calls—70.7113.29+57.42
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 22Mock Draft PicksWent 210050—
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled85.431.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 85.4 out of 100, against 31.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Position Order CallsTetairoa McMillan

    Tetairoa McMillan to be 1st wide receiver off the board

    VerdictClose
    70.71Close · naive 13.29
    70.71this call13.29a naive guess57.42better than naive1difficulty+57.42skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 31 at random averages 13.29
    skill:
    57.42
    player:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    13.29
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterCleveland Browns

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 2
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    85.4naive 31.6

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.