Andrew Erickson· Mar 8, 2026
Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted.
“I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
14 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 73.2 out of 100, against 46.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Blake Miller
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Sonny Styles
- David Bailey
- New York Jets
- Kayden McDonald
- Buffalo Bills
- Monroe Freeling
- Detroit Lions
- Spencer Fano
- Miami Dolphins
- Carnell Tate
- New Orleans Saints
- Caleb Downs
- New York Giants
- Avieon Terrell
- Seattle Seahawks
- Jermod McCoy
- Los Angeles Rams
- Olaivavega Ioane
- Baltimore Ravens
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- Dallas Cowboys
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Blake Miller to be picked at number 23
“twenty Three The Philadelphia Eagles... Offensive Line blake miller right Tackle From clemson”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.09 against a shuffle’s 50+44.09 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.09
- player:
- Blake Miller
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 17
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.09
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 8, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick, if not the second overall pick” (picks 1–5)
“Sunny Styles kind of cemented himself as a top five pick, if not the second overall pick overall”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.09 against a shuffle’s 50+44.09 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.09
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- top five pick, if not the second overall pick (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.09
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyNew York JetsMar 8, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“the Jets are on the clock, Andrew Erickson, you're up with the number two overall pick... I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.09 against a shuffle’s 50+44.09 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.09
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.09
- Mock Draft PicksKayden McDonaldBuffalo BillsMar 8, 2026
Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 26
“number Twenty, Six Here. Buffalo bills... play cad McDonald nos tackle”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Kayden McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingDetroit LionsMar 8, 2026
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17
“Number Seventeen, Detroit Lions... they're going to go with a Tackle From Georgia, monroe friedelan”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoMiami DolphinsMar 8, 2026
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11
“pick number Eleven what The dolphins do they're gonna take an offensive Tackle Spencer fanu”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Position Order CallsCarnell TateMar 8, 2026
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“I think that he's still going to be probably the first receiver draft as he's the only guy that ran”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8
“that brings up The New Orleans Saints now with the eighth pick... So Carnel, tate”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York GiantsMar 8, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“Gonna go three in a row From Ohio State Kale down's safety Former Buck eye to The New York GIANTS ... at number five”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32
“The seattle seahawks at Thirty Two... Cornerback, avion terrell BROTHER Of Aj Terrell”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Avieon Terrell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 48
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 50
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksJermod McCoyLos Angeles RamsMar 8, 2026
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 29
“number, twenty Nine... they're going to take a Quarnerback, From tennessee. JERMAD McCoy”
Miss · 4Scored 4.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.42
- predicted pick:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“Venga yo wanna number one guard in the, class ... guard From Penn State ... The Baltimore ravens Need”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Olaivavega Ioane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 20
“number Twenty The dallas cowboys with another first round pick... So Emmanuel, McNeil warren”
Miss · 19Scored 19.28 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 19.28
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 19.28
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Position Order CallsOlaivavega IoaneMar 8, 2026
Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st guard off the board
“so they get the best guard in the class From Penn State”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.