Andrew Erickson#30 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 8, 2026

Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 14calls landed8 hits · 4 close calls · 2 misses · all settled

75.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 14 calls

45.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

14 of 14Settlednone still waiting

#30Andrew Erickson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Andrew Erickson said

I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech.

Andrew Erickson, the lead quote

Where it was said: FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode: FantasyPros - 2026 NFL First Round Mock Draft 3.0 | Every First Round Pick After The Combine (Ep. 1973)
The original: Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidMar 8
GradedAug 7–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses
Position Order Calls	2	0	0
Mock Draft Picks	6	4	2
All	8	4	2

How each call scored

14 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 14 have settled, averaging 75.1 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish

1They said

1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Position Order Calls2 hitsShow ▸

Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st guard off the board
“so they get the best guard in the class From Penn State”
Olaivavega Ioane
100Hit
100 − 22.64 naive = 77.36 × 1 difficulty = +77.36 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 15 at random averages 22.64
skill:
77.36
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
22.64
position:
guard
class size:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“I think that he's still going to be probably the first receiver draft as he's the only guy that ran”
Carnell Tate
100Hit
100 − 9.48 naive = 90.52 × 1 difficulty = +90.52 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
skill:
90.52
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
9.48
position:
wide receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?

Mock Draft Picks6 hits · 4 close calls · 2 missesShow ▸

Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32
“The seattle seahawks at Thirty Two... Cornerback, avion terrell BROTHER Of Aj Terrell”
Avieon Terrell Seattle Seahawks
Went 48mocked at 32
50Close
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11
“pick number Eleven what The dolphins do they're gonna take an offensive Tackle Spencer fanu”
Spencer Fano Miami Dolphins
Went 9mocked at 11
91.7Hit
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 20
“number Twenty The dallas cowboys with another first round pick... So Emmanuel, McNeil warren”
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren Dallas Cowboys
Went 58mocked at 20
19.28Miss
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
19.28
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
19.28
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 29
“number, twenty Nine... they're going to take a Quarnerback, From tennessee. JERMAD McCoy”
Jermod McCoy Los Angeles Rams
Went 101mocked at 29
4.42Miss
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Jermod McCoy
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
4.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
101
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
4.42
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17
“Number Seventeen, Detroit Lions... they're going to go with a Tackle From Georgia, monroe friedelan”
Monroe Freeling Detroit Lions
Went 19mocked at 17
91.7Hit
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“the Jets are on the clock, Andrew Erickson, you're up with the number two overall pick... I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech”
David Bailey New York Jets
Went 2mocked at 2
100Hit
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick, if not the second overall pick” (picks 1–5)
“Sunny Styles kind of cemented himself as a top five pick, if not the second overall pick overall”
Sonny Styles
Went 7
91.7Hit
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
top five pick, if not the second overall pick (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Blake Miller to be picked at number 23
“twenty Three The Philadelphia Eagles... Offensive Line blake miller right Tackle From clemson”
Blake Miller Philadelphia Eagles
Went 17mocked at 23
77.11Close
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Blake Miller
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“Gonna go three in a row From Ohio State Kale down's safety Former Buck eye to The New York GIANTS ... at number five”
Caleb Downs New York Giants
Went 11mocked at 5
77.11Close
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 26
“number Twenty, Six Here. Buffalo bills... play cad McDonald nos tackle”
Kayden McDonald Buffalo Bills
Went 36mocked at 26
64.84Close
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Kayden McDonald
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“Venga yo wanna number one guard in the, class ... guard From Penn State ... The Baltimore ravens Need”
Olaivavega Ioane Baltimore Ravens
Went 14mocked at 14
100Hit
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8
“that brings up The New Orleans Saints now with the eighth pick... So Carnel, tate”
Carnell Tate New Orleans Saints
Went 4mocked at 8
84.09Hit
mock order 94.09 − 50 for a shuffle = 44.09 × 1 difficulty = +44.09 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
44.09
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
94.09
Think this is wrong?

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