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Nick Shook#67 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 9, 2026

Shook walks through their full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

17 of 34calls landed17 hits · 11 close calls · 6 misses · 2 waiting
70.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 34 calls
45.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
34 of 36Settled2 still waiting
#67Nick Shook’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Shook said

We went with Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey and I think about the history of the Jets when I made this selection.
Nick Shook, the lead quote
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Mock Draft: Jeremiyah Love at No. 3? Caleb Downs Goes Early and WRs Fall
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 9
  2. GradedAug 17–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks16952
Position Order Calls1210
All171162

How each call scored

36 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks and 4 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 57 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

34 of 36 have settled so far, averaging 70.9 out of 100, against 45.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
24They said
21What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks16 hits · 9 close calls · 5 misses · 2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24

    “you keep the tackle run going. With Max Ianachra from Arizona State... Ianacher with the Browns”

    Max IheanachorCleveland Browns

    Went 21mocked at 24
    87.81Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Max Iheanachor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13

    “You have the Rams up next at thirteen, taking Francis Mauiinoa from Miami”

    Francis MauigoaLos Angeles Rams

    Went 10mocked at 13
    87.81Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 26

    “You have Jordan Tyson, the Arizona state wide receiver, falling all the way to twenty six... So if Tyson falls to this point for them in the draft”

    Jordyn TysonBuffalo Bills

    Went 8mocked at 26
    45.85Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    45.85
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    45.85
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 10

    “Instead you have him taking a cornerback Jermad McCoy from Tennessee”

    Jermod McCoyCincinnati Bengals

    Went 101mocked at 10
    1.94Miss

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    1.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    1.94
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Cashius Howell to be picked at number 17

    “The Casius Howell pick to the Lions at seventeen”

    Cashius HowellDetroit Lions

    Went 41mocked at 17
    35.36Miss

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    35.36
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16

    “if we're recapping the sixteenth to twenty picks, you had Lemon to the Jets... Makai Lemon out of usc”

    Makai LemonNew York Jets

    Went 20mocked at 16
    84.09Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 27

    “the forty nine ers you have. Taking Keldrick Falk kind of a divisive prospect”

    Keldric Faulk

    Went 31mocked at 27
    84.09Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 18

    “Minnesota taking Emmanuel McNeil warren the safety from Toledo”

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenMinnesota Vikings

    Went 58mocked at 18
    17.68Miss

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    17.68
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    17.68
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21

    “So maybe that's why the Steelers. You have another tackle off the board, Monroe Freeling.”

    Monroe FreelingPittsburgh Steelers

    Went 19mocked at 21
    91.7Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  10. T.J. Parker to be picked at number 31

    “Patriots at thirty one, take Clemson edge TJ. Parker”

    T.J. ParkerNew England Patriots

    Went 35mocked at 31
    84.09Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    T.J. Parker
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22

    “The Chargers are up next. You have them taking another wide receiver Omar Cooper... That's why it fits here, I think at twenty two.”

    Omar CooperLos Angeles Chargers

    Went 30mocked at 22
    70.71Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3

    “You went wild Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals at three. The Notre Dame running back”

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    Went 3mocked at 3
    100Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    “The Bucks are up next at fifteen, and you haven't taken a key messador from Miami.”

    Akheem Mesidor

    Went 22mocked at 15
    73.84Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 32

    “you wrap up the draft at thirty two with Brandon Sisay, the South Carolina cornerback... they just lost Reek Woollan to free agency”

    Brandon CisseSeattle Seahawks

    Went 52mocked at 32
    42.04Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Brandon Cisse
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    52
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Colton Hood to be picked at number 30

    “The Dolphins take Colton Hood, the Tennessee cornerback, at thirty”

    Colton HoodMiami Dolphins

    Went 37mocked at 30
    73.84Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Colton Hood
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    37
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  16. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    “You have them going to the Titans... that's at number four, so your Reese falls to them”

    Arvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    Went 5mocked at 4
    95.76Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  17. Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    “that's why he's worthy of the sixth overall pick in this draft... Carnell Tate, you have going to the Browns”

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    Went 4mocked at 6
    91.7Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  18. Blake Miller to be picked at number 23

    “Blake Miller from Clemson. You know the Eagles... find their replacement potentially for Lane Johnson here”

    Blake MillerPhiladelphia Eagles

    Went 17mocked at 23
    77.11Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Blake Miller
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  19. Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9

    “come back with the Chiefs on the clock at number nine... So they get the best corner in the draft in Mansor Delaine”

    Mansoor DelaneKansas City Chiefs

    Went 6mocked at 9
    87.81Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  20. Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “There wasn't much to talk about with the number one overall pick. Yeah, from Nando Mendoza going to the Raiders”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 1mocked at 1
    100Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  21. Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20

    “and then Avian Terrell, AJ's brother, the Clemson cornerback, going to the Cowboys”

    Avieon TerrellDallas Cowboys

    Went 48mocked at 20
    29.73Miss

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Avieon Terrell
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    29.73
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    48
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    29.73
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  22. Spencer Fano to be picked at number 14

    “The Ravens, you know, start what's going to be a run of tackles with Spencer Fano”

    Spencer FanoBaltimore Ravens

    Went 9mocked at 14
    80.52Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  23. Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    “Now you have styles going to the Giants... they will have an opportunity at five to add to that defense”

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    Went 7mocked at 5
    91.7Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  24. Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 25

    “Caden Proctor from Alabama to the Bears... I think at twenty five that's really good value on Proctor”

    Kadyn ProctorChicago Bears

    Went 12mocked at 25
    56.94Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  25. Lee Hunter to be picked at number 19

    “Lee Hunter from Texas Tech going to the Panthers”

    Lee HunterCarolina Panthers

    Went 49mocked at 19
    27.26Miss

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Lee Hunter
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    27.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    49
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    27.26
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  26. Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    “You keep the Ohio State train going at number seven. It's Caleb Downs... the Commanders going with Caleb Downs”

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    Went 11mocked at 7
    84.09Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  27. David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    “at number two to the Jets... We went with Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey”

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    Went 2mocked at 2
    100Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  28. Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12

    “I wouldn't have been surprised though, if you had put Dylan Theeneman to the Bengals at twelve. At ten instead he goes to the Cowboys.”

    Dillon ThienemanDallas Cowboys

    Went 25mocked at 12
    56.94Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  29. Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28

    “you had Caleb Lomu the tackle going to the Texans at twenty eight”

    Caleb LomuHouston Texans

    Went 28mocked at 28
    100Hit

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Caleb Lomu
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  30. Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    “Bain ends up going the next pick... But New Orleans still hasn't resigned Cam Jordan... I think there's eight really standout players in this draft, and you took him in the top eight in a row”

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    Went 15mocked at 8
    73.84Close

    mock order 82.27 − 50 for a shuffle = 32.27 × 1 difficulty = +32.27 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.27
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.27
    Think this is wrong?
  31. Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at a slot they never named

    “Did you consider taking Kenyan Sadik the tight end for the Texans at twenty eight instead he goes to the Chiefs”

    Kenyon SadiqKansas City Chiefs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  32. Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at a slot they never named

    “we'll fly through vega IONI to the Dolphins. That would be a statement of an intent type of pick. Penn State guard”

    Olaivavega IoaneMiami Dolphins

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Position Order Calls1 hit · 2 close calls · 1 missShow ▸
  1. Francis Mauigoa to be 1st tackle off the board

    “So they get the first tackle off the board. Excellent value, excellent need.”

    Francis MauigoaLos Angeles Rams

    70.71Close

    70.71 − 20.58 naive = 50.13 × 1 difficulty = +50.13 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 20 at random averages 20.58
    skill:
    50.13
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    20.58
    position:
    tackle
    class size:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st offensive lineman off the board

    “He would be the first offensive lineman off the board in your draft, and a guard”

    Olaivavega IoaneMiami Dolphins

    35.36Miss

    35.36 − 9.95 naive = 25.41 × 1 difficulty = +25.41 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 50 at random averages 9.95
    skill:
    25.41
    player:
    Olaivavega Ioane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    9.95
    position:
    offensive lineman
    class size:
    50
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    4
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Makai Lemon to be 2nd receiver off the board

    “the second one they spend on Lemon because I felt Lemon was the next best receiver in this class”

    Makai LemonNew York Jets

    70.71Close

    70.71 − 12.84 naive = 57.87 × 1 difficulty = +57.87 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 12.84
    skill:
    57.87
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    12.84
    position:
    receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    3
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Carnell Tate to be 1st receiver off the board

    “Carnell Tate, you have going to the Browns and the Ohio state wide receiver, first receiver off the board”

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    100Hit

    100 − 9.48 naive = 90.52 × 1 difficulty = +90.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
    skill:
    90.52
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    9.48
    position:
    receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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