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Jamie Erdahl#31 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

Predicted a Vikings–Broncos Super Bowl in San Francisco with Minnesota winning.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#31Jamie Erdahl’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jamie Erdahl said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I believe the Vikings will come out victorious
Jamie Erdahl, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Super Bowl picks! Brandon Graham & Ross Tucker join!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl“Bronco's out of the AFC, Vikings out of the NFC”
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl“Bronco's out of the AFC, Vikings out of the NFC... and I believe the Vikings will come out victorious”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won500+100
Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked DEN
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive2difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked MIN
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    25naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.