Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 11, 2025
Frelund picks Houston to beat Arizona by more than ten, the Giants over Washington, and Dallas to cover against Minnesota; they also expect the 49ers to make the playoffs as a wild card and has San Francisco winning 30-16 over Tennessee.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Cynthia Frelund said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI'm just gonna go with Houston to win by more than ten.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 15 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidDec 11, 2025
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1San Francisco 49ers 30 — Titans 16“I have thirty sixteen. So and you know, my mom and... your model is very conservative.”
- 2Houston Texans to beat Arizona“I'm just gonna go with Houston to win by more than ten.”
- 3San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs“You know that they're gonna get in the as a wild card and face Green Bay in the first round”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers 30 — Titans 161 | Score Predictions | — | 97.62 | 73.88 | +28.97 | |
| Houston Texans to beat Arizona2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs3 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +122 | |
| 3 calls · 3 hits · all settled | 99.2 | 58 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 99.2 out of 100, against 58 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Titans 16
VerdictHit97.62Hit · naive 73.8897.62this call−73.88a naive guess=23.74better than naive×1.22difficulty=+28.97skillClosing line (Dec 14): 49ers by 12.5, total 44.5 · this 30–16 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and more points (46).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 24-37
- skill:
- 28.97
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 73.88
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 14
2Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans
Houston Texans to beat Arizona
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.22difficulty=0skillClosing line (Dec 14): Texans by 10.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 5 in 6 (83%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-40
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
3Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.22difficulty=+122skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 122
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
99.2naive 58
Who this take is about
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More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
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