Cynthia Frelund· Dec 11, 2025
Frelund picks Houston to beat Arizona by more than ten, the Giants over Washington, and Dallas to cover against Minnesota; she also expects the 49ers to make the playoffs as a wild card and has San Francisco winning 30-16 over Tennessee.
“I'm just gonna go with Houston to win by more than ten.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 playoff pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 59.5 out of 100, against 34.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsDec 11, 2025
New York Giants to beat Washington
“My number two is a number two, as in the spread is number is two Washington and the Giants... I'm gonna take the Giants.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 29-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersDec 11, 2025
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Titans 16
“I have thirty sixteen. So and you know, my mom and... your model is very conservative.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 73.88+28.97 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-37
- skill:
- 28.97
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 73.88
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 14
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysDec 11, 2025
Dallas Cowboys to beat Minnesota
“I'm picking Dallas to cover five and a half.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 34-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansDec 11, 2025
Houston Texans to beat Arizona
“I'm just gonna go with Houston to win by more than ten.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-40
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ersDec 11, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“You know that they're gonna get in the as a wild card and face Green Bay in the first round”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 122
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 4
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 88Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Richie BradshawScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 83Bradshaw picks the 49ers to beat the Cardinals in their Week 3 matchup, predicting a final score of 27-14 in San Francisco's favor.
- Geoff SchwartzGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Filling in on the chips segment, Schwartz took Jacksonville to beat New England, the Bengals to beat the Steelers, and the Cowboys to beat the Ravens on the Brazil field.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.