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Peter DeweyOct 9, 2026

Picks the 49ers to beat the Seahawks in Week 5.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
49ers 32–29What happened49ers at Seahawks
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+178Skillafter difficulty

What Peter Dewey said

Our reading: San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks

Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Seahawks vs. 49ers Week 5 Expert Picks, Prediction Roundup
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 9
  2. PlayedOct 11
  3. GradedOct 12

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks

    What happened49ers 32–2949ers at Seahawks
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.78difficulty+178skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, 49ers 40%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    178
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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