Clay Travis· Oct 25, 2024

Travis argued that Trump is likely to win the presidency, that he will also carry the national popular vote, that he will win Ohio comfortably, and that Bernie Moreno will be Ohio's next senator.

“And I think he's going to win the popular vote.”

said on air or in an interview · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 race winners — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 4 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Race WinnersOct 25, 2024
“you have the ability and all of the Ohio voters do to not only put Trump in the White House, and we expect Trump to win Ohio comfortably”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-oh
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Republican
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Ohio
decided in the:
general
they said:
Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:
10
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
Republican
the naive guess:
the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
the result is:
certified
the party they named:
Republican
Think this is wrong?
Race WinnersOct 25, 2024
“That is Bernie Marino, next senator from the state of Ohio.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+101 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-senate-oh
election year:
2024
skill:
101
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
wikipedia-2024-senate
who won:
Bernard F. Moreno
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. Senate election in Ohio
decided in the:
general
they said:
Bernard F. Moreno
days before the vote when called:
10
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
Republican
the naive guess:
the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
the result is:
certified
the party they named:
Republican
Think this is wrong?
Race WinnersOct 25, 2024
“for him to come back and win the popular vote, I believe it will be. And I think he's going to win the popular vote”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+101 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president
election year:
2024
skill:
101
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the:
electoral-college
they said:
Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:
10
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
Republican
the naive guess:
the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
the result is:
certified
the party they named:
Republican
Think this is wrong?
Race WinnersOct 25, 2024
“I think you're starting to see a recognition that one Trump is likely to win, because I do think they would jump on the you know, jump on the party train if Kamala Harris were going to win”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+101 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president
election year:
2024
skill:
101
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the:
electoral-college
they said:
Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:
10
difficulty:
1.01
the winner's party:
Republican
the naive guess:
the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
the result is:
certified
the party they named:
Republican
Think this is wrong?

More race winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.